Before you could swallow me with the console war rage, please take time to read this :
My theory is mainly based on three axis (reasons):
- Vita is getting a huge 3rd Party support for next year and much more games are scheduled for 2014 than the actual concurrent. ( GR2, Freedom Wars, MH: Frontier, SAO, All-stars victory VS, SS Delta, ...)
- 3DS has actually gained a strong userbase, ~15Mil and is now down YoY even with strong releases Pokemon, MH,... It should be hard to find some japanese gamer who doesn't own one.
- And mainly for the release of ps4 next year, we all know that the console is doing great worldwide and is predicted to return glory ps2 days to Sony, however in Japan console gaming isn't pretty much the same, Handheld took over it. Therefore, Sony should benefit from the remote play feature to make a hybrid experience Console gaming at home and handheld gaming on Vita outside, every ps4 owner who could afford a vita will buy it.
Concluding, i predict 4 - 4.5Mil Vitas sold during 2014.
Am i nuts ? thoughts..