And you have now proven yourself to be full of it.

As benji pointed out, the Worldwide figure for November was actually in the ballpark of 470k (or 490k, possibly - I'm using VGChartz numbers, I'm sure there are other estimates). And November approximately equal to following January certainly isn't unprecedented in terms of Worldwide figures; especially when the strongest momentum for the system is being seen in Japan (and you cannot possibly deny that the Wii U has significant momentum in Japan, now... unless you're one of those who insist that 3k in one week prior to significant game releases and price drops, etc, proves that there's no momentum in a week when it sold nearly 75k).

You have spent all of your energy trying to disprove the idea of the Wii U selling 200k in America. I find this funny, because you're trying to assert that my overall prediction of 500k is completely unrealistic, but America only accounts for 40% of that prediction - meaning, it could be half that, and still my prediction wouldn't be that far from accurate, with 400k (much more than most other people's predictions).

And Nintendo is already intervening. They went from practically no advertising through most of November to a heavy advertising campaign in December. They had no information on any future Wii U titles in November, but now we know about a number of additional titles.

Simply put, you seem to use nothing except the argument that "as it has been so far, so shall it always be". As though nothing ever changes. Of course, it's an absurd assertion, but it's the argument you're using to disagree with me - "it hasn't happened before, so it's practically impossible now". And yet, even when I provide examples of some of these things happening before, you still insist on it being practically impossible this time.

I've put forward my justification for my prediction. Time for you to put up or shut up. It's not enough to say "it hasn't happened before", you have to provide specific reason for it not being an acceptable prediction. And just saying "Wii U isn't gaining momentum" isn't any better than "it hasn't happened before" - show me the facts; if you want to claim that Wii U isn't gaining momentum, you need to provide evidence that shows that the current sales increase isn't atypical, that systems that aren't gaining momentum can be expected to see a similar increase under similar circumstances. And no, 150% increase is not similar to 500% increase.

That leaves Japan, but we know sales drop significantly there after the first week of January as per their holiday trends.

You do understand the phrase "gaining momentum", don't you?

I don't see the term "gaining momenteum" being applicable when the system is coming up with incredibly underwhelming sales below expectations in major markets. It's a given every system, even the Vita, increases towards the year end, there's nothing notable about that. 

In the context of what the Wii U's sales should be, the level they're putting up now is horrible. 220k is not even freaking half (half!) of the GameCube's second November. That's horrible, no one at Nintendo is happy with that at all. 

This holiday season season judging by November is pretty much veering towards a worst case scenario for Nintendo.