i'm starting to doubt if the ps4 can make 13 million this year its gonna be very very close based on supply only

* Wii U 2012 Sales

** Wii U succesor for Holiday 2016

*** Wii U succesor LTD at 2020

I'll edit at later numbers for the other two.

now this is a thread i have been searching for!!
totally overestimated XO, very very low on PS4, change to second console on nintendo front looks pretty comparable
total HW doesnt seem to strange

which is generally also the case with the other predictions high on wii u, low on ps4 and high on XO

I think you're underselling your Nintendo prediction... Almost spot on for the Switch release, *and* first year sales (though you were a bit optimistic on the WiiU)

It seems that PS4 was severely underestimated and the Xbox was severely overestimated. Nintendo was just too unknown to make a realistic prediction. The Wii I predictions that were made were very much off.

After 2014 though you see a lot more realistic predictions for the PS4.

It be nice to update those predictions.

Switch-80 million by 2022
Xbox-53 million by 2022
PS4-115 million by 2022

This provea switch is gen 8

This thread is fascinating, if for no other reason than it predicts that Nintendo will release a successor at roughly the right time, but can't seem to figure out that the successor is generation 9.  

Also it's fascinating that most people seemed to think that generation 8 would turn out a lot like generation 7.  That is why most people overestimate the XB1 and underestimate the PS4.  In truth, each generation is a huge reset in the marketplace.  When people realize a) Switch is generation 9, and b) each generation is a huge reset, then they'll begin to see why the PS5 is actually in big trouble.

I like this guy.  He made a really good prediction.  Congrats to Somini!

Just one question.

What, in your opinion makes the NS a generation 9 console? 

Period of release? Game library of the platform? Or simply that it released after the PS4/XB1?

All of the above?  Consoles in the same generation are released fairly close to one another.  On the other hand when a console goes 4-7 years and then releases a successor, you have a next generation console.  Next generation consoles play games that the previous generation could not.  

Switch is a next generation console in every sense.  It was NOT released anywhere near the PS4, XB1 or Vita.  The Wii U and 3DS WERE released near the PS4, XB1 and Vita.  They are all in the same generation, but Switch is not.  Switch is the successor to both the Wii U and 3DS releasing 4.5 and 6 years later respectively.  This is the normal time frame for releasing a next gen console.  And also Switch plays new games that the Wii U or 3DS could not: Mario Odyssey, Ulitmate Smash, Pokemon Let's Go, etc... these games are only available on Switch.

Now also think about it this way.  What if Sony released a Vita 2 this year?  What generation would it be?  Clearly it would be competing with Switch since they are both handheld devices.  If a Vita 2 launched this year, then what generation would it be?