Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Prediction: First Week Sales of Super Mario 3D World in Japan?

Post your predictions of First Week Sales Here (Japan)!

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When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

My prediction is.....


over 100 k easily (hopefully). I'd say around 115-130 k

Most anticapted game - Mario Kart 8....



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Will save the WiiUPikmin 3, price cut, 3D Mario, WiiFit U, 3rd party support (CoD, AC, Batman, Watch Dogs), Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze, Mario Kart, Super Smash Bros U. another price cut, fire Iwata.

Will Save the Xbox One:  Titanfall, price cut, next Gears, next Halo, another price cut.

Will Save Sony: Sell Buildings, Sell PC Business, Sell TV Business, Sell more Buildings, Spiderman movie, Playstation 4.

250k, (maybe 300).
wii party U moved some wii Us, also, its a big game, also is ending of year(sales are naturally bigger).

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why Japan only?
I will go with 150k

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ktay95 said:
why Japan only?
I will go with 150k

Japan numbers are usually more reliable, i think.

My educated guess is:

320 000


Funny, how People predict, it will only sell 120-150k. Even Pikmin 3 sold round abut 90-100k.

I say at least 350k.

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Around 1.1 million Wii U's in Japan, massive title but Nintendo first parties aren't nearly as frontloaded as for PS and Xbox games. I'd say somewhere around 180-200k with small drops for a couple of weeks. With the lack of other, compelling software, titles like this will shine all the brighter and could get a massive attach rate.

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End of 2014 hardware sales:

Wii U: 10 million. PS4: 15.5 million. One: 11 million. 3DS: 53 million. PSVita: 9.6 million. 360: 83 million. PS3: 85.5 million.