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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - LoZ A Link Between Worlds Lifetime Predictions! How Well Will It Sell?

think-man on 26 October 2013

4.7m



 

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zorg1000 on 26 October 2013
Vidavis said:
zorg1000 said:
Vidavis said:
zorg1000 said:
Vidavis said:
Classic Zelda that people like will sell at least 6 to 8 million, always has always will. With nostalgia heavily powering this game I think it could close to NSBDS numbers. It will sell 17-25 million.

Why would nostalgia cause a game to sell 3x as much as the best selling title in the franchise?

There has not been a Zelda game in this style, with this kind of pedigree for many years. This is what the market wants. I have several friends who are getting a 3DS mostly to play this game. The parents who played 2D Zelda in the eighties and nineties will want their kids to play it. Wii virtual console 2D Zelda sales show a pent up demand for 2D Zelda that has been building. If it does well on 3DS we will also see a top down Zelda on Wii U to complement the AAA Ocarina style we are now accustomed to. Book it.

i understand all of that but 17-25 million is an absolutely unrealistic expectation and there is just no way that is happening

I think it has a chance to crack those numbers lifetime. Look at the insane numbers GTAV did in one week.


Horrible comparison, GTA games have sold over 10 million since 2001.

Ur Mario Kart comparison is valid but thats a series that greatly depends on install base, on N64/GC/Wii It sold roughly 1/3 the Install base of the console It was on, Zelda not so much since it has sold relatively consistantly for almost 30 years now regardless of install base



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

HikenNoAce on 26 October 2013

0.7M in the west.



tbone51 on 26 October 2013
HikenNoAce said:
0.7M in the west.


thats wayyyyy too low. LoZ biggest market is US by far. Its on 3ds it'll probably sell over a mil just this year alone in US.



tbone51 on 26 October 2013
prayformojo said:
It'll do well but DAMN is that cover epic. Maybe the best Zelda cover in ages. Now if only they could make the cart shinny gold like the original, I'd completely lose my mind.


seriously!!! I like the box art to be different color too. Like they did with NSMBWii! Remember the good old days with N64! Different Colors *.*



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HikenNoAce on 26 October 2013
tbone51 said:
HikenNoAce said:
0.7M in the west.


thats wayyyyy too low. LoZ biggest market is US by far. Its on 3ds it'll probably sell over a mil just this year alone in US.


Ok, 1.5M across Europe and the US then.



tbone51 on 26 October 2013
HikenNoAce said:
tbone51 said:
HikenNoAce said:
0.7M in the west.


thats wayyyyy too low. LoZ biggest market is US by far. Its on 3ds it'll probably sell over a mil just this year alone in US.


Ok, 1.5M across Europe and the US then.

Still too low

Ocarina of Time 3D = 1.51mil in US and will continue to sell for another 4-6 years. With Europe Sales its actually over 2.4mil. LoZ a link between worlds will sell more than a remake



zorg1000 on 26 October 2013
HikenNoAce said:
tbone51 said:
HikenNoAce said:
0.7M in the west.


thats wayyyyy too low. LoZ biggest market is US by far. Its on 3ds it'll probably sell over a mil just this year alone in US.


Ok, 1.5M across Europe and the US then.


On average handheld Zelda games (not including remakes) sell roughly 1.5m in America, 1 million in Europe and 750k in Japan.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Ninjahound101 on 26 October 2013

About 4.7 Million, it will have great legs and the hype seems to be the highest since Twilight Princess



bet with ash3336 he wins if Super Mario 3D World sells less than Mario Sunshine during the first three years, I win if 3D World outsells Sunshine's first 3 years. Loser get sig controlled for 3 months (punishment might change)

Do you doubt the WiiU? Do you believe that it won't match the GC?

Then come and accept this bet

Nintendo eShop USA sales ranking 2/12/2013 : http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=173615

Vidavis on 26 October 2013
zorg1000 said:
Vidavis said:
zorg1000 said:
Vidavis said:
zorg1000 said:
Vidavis said:
Classic Zelda that people like will sell at least 6 to 8 million, always has always will. With nostalgia heavily powering this game I think it could close to NSBDS numbers. It will sell 17-25 million.

Why would nostalgia cause a game to sell 3x as much as the best selling title in the franchise?

There has not been a Zelda game in this style, with this kind of pedigree for many years. This is what the market wants. I have several friends who are getting a 3DS mostly to play this game. The parents who played 2D Zelda in the eighties and nineties will want their kids to play it. Wii virtual console 2D Zelda sales show a pent up demand for 2D Zelda that has been building. If it does well on 3DS we will also see a top down Zelda on Wii U to complement the AAA Ocarina style we are now accustomed to. Book it.

i understand all of that but 17-25 million is an absolutely unrealistic expectation and there is just no way that is happening

I think it has a chance to crack those numbers lifetime. Look at the insane numbers GTAV did in one week.


Horrible comparison, GTA games have sold over 10 million since 2001.

Ur Mario Kart comparison is valid but thats a series that greatly depends on install base, on N64/GC/Wii It sold roughly 1/3 the Install base of the console It was on, Zelda not so much since it has sold relatively consistantly for almost 30 years now regardless of install base

Valid points you are making, my GTAV comparison was flawed, but call it a hunch anyway though that this game will blow up. Zelda games are typically half as popular as Mario. Therefore, I optomistically predict 90,000,000 divided by 1/3 divided by 1/2 = at least 15 million sales.

And also I believe that a special Zelda like this has never before been on a system that will have such a massive install base. A link to the past was on super nes and I believe that was only 49 million. If I am wrong I will eat massive amounts of crow.