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Forums - Sales Discussion - If/When Will PS4/XBOne outsell the WiiU?

 

When will one of the consoles pass the Wii U?

Before Christmas 58 17.11%
 
After Xmas, before end of Fiscal Year 63 18.58%
 
After Fiscal Year, before next summer 45 13.27%
 
After next summer, before end of next summer 14 4.13%
 
After end of next summer,... 22 6.49%
 
During 2014 holiday season 31 9.14%
 
After 2014 holiday season 26 7.67%
 
Never 80 23.60%
 
Total:339

I would say that that Sony specifically will surpass them by the end of the fiscal year. Microsoft might be behind them some, but they'll pass Nintendo not far after.



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neither ps4 nor xone will ever pass wii u sales. xone will most probably end up in last.



PS4 by October 2014
Xbox One by march 2015



kowenicki said:
JayWood2010 said:

No prediction other than they wont outsell it this year.

Ps4 is suppose to sell 5m by March. WiiU is at what about 3.5m at this moment? WiiU will likely be around 6-7m by the end of 2013. Both PS4 and X1 will be around 2-4m by the end of 2013.  Even so, WiiU only has to sell 1.5m more to equal Sony's numbers by this march if they sell all units.

So in other words, unless you expect PS4 not to have a single console on shelves from January to March then it isnt going to outsell WiiU by the end of 2013


This is a sensible answer. 

Very. Also, PS4/X1 will have fantastic launch sales (that's basically the law when it comes to new systems), but after the holiday season, going into 2014, sales will taper off, fast (this always happens, too). Unless either of them performs like Wii did when it launched (they won't).



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Ps4 will have 12mil shipped by 2015 if they hit their 5mil by march figure. Wii U might have about 13 at that time. So i say before the end of Q4 2014.



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Cheebee said:
kowenicki said:
JayWood2010 said:

No prediction other than they wont outsell it this year.

Ps4 is suppose to sell 5m by March. WiiU is at what about 3.5m at this moment? WiiU will likely be around 6-7m by the end of 2013. Both PS4 and X1 will be around 2-4m by the end of 2013.  Even so, WiiU only has to sell 1.5m more to equal Sony's numbers by this march if they sell all units.

So in other words, unless you expect PS4 not to have a single console on shelves from January to March then it isnt going to outsell WiiU by the end of 2013


This is a sensible answer. 

Very. Also, PS4/X1 will have fantastic launch sales (that's basically the law when it comes to new systems), but after the holiday season, going into 2014, sales will taper off, fast (this always happens, too). Unless either of them performs like Wii did when it launched (they won't).


Yep, all of your logics have made my rash answer appear very stupid. However, I shall play the game and stick with my first answer.



Holiday 2014 for both.

They'll both track higher than WiiU at every point in its life and overtake WiiU during November ish time 2014.



 

IF it happens, I guess next summer. If it doesn't happen then, I'd say never. (Both)



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