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Locked: 15 games will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl this gen.

Forums - Sales Discussion - 15 games will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl this gen.

And I'll name them. At least 10 of them should be pointing out the obvious.

People are exaggerating how big Brawl is going to be. Sales estimates well above 15 million, talk of how its "Nintendo's biggest franchise" or will be the "defining game on Wii." Biggest case in point: on theSimExchange, Brawl is valued above 17M in sales. At its highest, it topped 20M. 

Let me first name 12 sure bets. I guarentee that each and every one of these games will sell more than Brawl. (Sales numbers from earlier today.)

1. Wii Sports 18.52M
2. Nintendogs 17.35M
3. Pokemon Diamond/Pearl 13.65M
4. New Super Mario Bros. 13.16M
    Super Smash Bros 64 + Melee 12.13M
5. Brain Training 11.69M
6. More Brain Training 9.85M
7. Wii Play 9.70M
8. Mario Kart DS 9.45M
9. Animal Crossing: Wild World 8.90M
    Super Smash Bros Melee 6.58M
    Super Smash Bros 64 5.55M
10. Super Mario Galaxy 5.54M
11. Wii Fit 1.28M
12. Mario Kart Wii

And, additional games of which at least 3 will beat Brawl...

Animal Crossing Wii
Grand Theft Auto IV 360
Subsequent GTA games for any home system
Halo 3 7.13M
Gran Turismo 5
Subsequent Brain Training games for DS or Wii
Subsequent Nintendogs games for DS or Wii
Wii Music or other as-of-yet-unknown Wii brand games
Other unknown game(s)

Brawl will cruise past the sales of the previous versions. It will make a run at 10 million sales. But it will not be the biggest game this generation. It will not sell 12, 15 or 20 million.



"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."

Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.

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you notice that half of those games are for ds giving them a huge ad. b.c of price and they have already been released...

not sure about halo 3 and gran torismo though...



You sir are very wrong.




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Erik Aston said:

And I'll name them. At least 10 of them should be pointing out the obvious.

People are exaggerating how big Brawl is going to be. Sales estimates well above 15 million, talk of how its "Nintendo's biggest franchise" or will be the "defining game on Wii." Biggest case in point: on theSimExchange, Brawl is valued above 17M in sales. At its highest, it topped 20M.

Let me first name 12 sure bets. I guarentee that each and every one of these games will sell more than Brawl. (Sales numbers from earlier today.)

1. Wii Sports 18.52M
2. Nintendogs 17.35M
3. Pokemon Diamond/Pearl 13.65M
4. New Super Mario Bros. 13.16M
Super Smash Bros 64 + Melee 12.13M
5. Brain Training 11.69M
6. More Brain Training 9.85M
7. Wii Play 9.70M
8. Mario Kart DS 9.45M
9. Animal Crossing: Wild World 8.90M
Super Smash Bros Melee 6.58M
Super Smash Bros 64 5.55M
10. Super Mario Galaxy 5.54M
11. Wii Fit 1.28M
12. Mario Kart Wii

And, additional games of which at least 3 will beat Brawl...

Animal Crossing Wii
Grand Theft Auto IV 360
Subsequent GTA games for any home system
Halo 3 7.13M
Gran Turismo 5
Subsequent Brain Training games for DS or Wii
Subsequent Nintendogs games for DS or Wii
Wii Music or other as-of-yet-unknown Wii brand games
Other unknown game(s)

Brawl will cruise past the sales of the previous versions. It will make a run at 10 million sales. But it will not be the biggest game this generation. It will not sell 12, 15 or 20 million.


 U R WRONG - First of all, SSBM is not this generation and even if it was, u don't think Brawl will sell bettr than it did even with a higher install base!?!?!?!?!? 2nd of all, there is much more hype around  Brawl than there was for galaxy and launch numbers prove it. Not only will SSBB have a big launch, it will hav egreat legs too. IMO, because the Wii install base will most likely gorw to 60 million minimim, I'd say that SSBB will selll 12 million AT THE VERY LEAST - i expect near 20 million - meaning it will beat everything on that list exceot Nintendogs, Wii Sports and possibly MK Wii



Almost all those are DS games...and that's just a stupid comparison, sorry.

And I don't think anybody here expects Brawl to get 17 million, at least not after a long time...

And I think you're UNDERESTIMATING the demand that Brawl is receiving. It's getting a LOT more hype than Melee ever did, AND it's getting hyped way more than SMG and MP3 combined...this game will sell very well. Just look at SMG's first week of 400k or whatever compared to nearly a million of Brawl.



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DSoverPSP: But people buy half as many games for handhelds, too. And previous to DS, only 8 handheld games sold more than Melee. Ever. 5 of them were Pokemon games, and 2 more were pack-ins. Already being released provides no advantage since I'm talking lifetime sales.



"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."

Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.

Therefore, this list is extremely flawed for it does not define what "this generation" is. SSBM is def. last generation so that already invalidates the list



Smash 64 and Melee sales numbers are only in there for reference. I didn't number them, and am obviously not counting them as "this gen."



"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."

Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.

^well, it seems as if it is because they are put under #9



BenKenobi88 said:
And I don't think anybody here expects Brawl to get 17 million, at least not after a long time...
  

 I expect the Wii to have 6+ 17 million sellers.




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Feel free to add me on 3DS or Switch! (PM me if you do ^-^)
Nintendo ID: Mako91                  3DS code: 4167-4543-6089