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Forums - Sales Discussion - When Will the PS4 Pass the WiiU in Lifetime Sales?

 

When Will the PS4 Pass the WiiU in Lifetime Sales?

In November - during the PS4 launch month 43 8.58%
 
By the end of 2013 73 14.57%
 
By March 2014 90 17.96%
 
By June 2014 44 8.78%
 
By September 2014 18 3.59%
 
By the end of 2014 68 13.57%
 
2015 or later 46 9.18%
 
Never! 58 11.58%
 
Who cares about the PS4 a... 6 1.20%
 
See Results 55 10.98%
 
Total:501
pezus said:
Man, this thread will be fun to revisit at the end of the year and early next year . Doubt Sony handhelds all you want, but a Sony console at that price, with that power and game support, is going to break records.


Meh, the most recognizable launch/launch window titles will be available on PS3 (and PC) as well. I'm pretty sure that people would rather get the PS3 versions while waiting for the ~$400 price tag to drop. And power will forever be irrelevant outside of fanboy wars thanks to the PC.

This will be fun indeed. Bookmarked.



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March 2014



Wii U sales started going backward recently, so I'd say by around October 15, 2013.



pezus said:
Man, this thread will be fun to revisit at the end of the year and early next year . Doubt Sony handhelds all you want, but a Sony console at that price, with that power and game support, is going to break records.


Except many of those games are cross-gen multiplats.



Wii U sales will explode with the release of Mario Kart 8, Smash Bros, Super Mario 3D World, Wii Fit U, and Wii Party U. So I expect Wii U to outpace PS4 for 2-3 years and actually increase the WiiU-PS4 gap (in comparision to whatever number it is when PS4 releases).

However I think Wii U, like Wii, will die out a bit early. I also think PS4 will outsell the One by a hefty margin, and sales between the two platforms won't be 1:1 like this gen. With that in mind, I think PS4 will top Wii U sales when they reach about 65-70 million units.

So maybe in 4-6 years? (2017-2019)



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pezus said:
Egann said:

Here I go with a complicated prediction.

The PS4 will overtake the Wii U during the Christmas 2014 season as it becomes the superior standalone console. The Wii U will overtake the PS4 again some time between 2017 and 2019 as the Gen 8 consoles hit midlife and the Wii U demonstrates itself to be a superior support/ secondary console.

There's no way that Nintendo will support it enough for that to happen. Even if they did, Sony has the distributional edge pretty much everywhere in the world but in Japan and NA 

@Osed: I wasn't being serious lulz. Wasn't there a rumour about something like 10...or was it 16...million PS4's being sold this year?

So that would mean that after 2019, PS4 could top WiiU again then? LOL!

Nintendo doesn't need to be the only publisher which supports the Wii for it to take off. If the casual audience is large again, and Ubisoft makes more games like Just Dance, Wii U sales could really explode.



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My Predictions:
Wii U
June 30: 3.75 million
Sept 30: 4.65 million
Dec 31: 8.05 million
2014
March 31: 8.90 million
June 30: 10.35 million
Sept 30: 11.25 million
Dec 31: 17.45 million
PS4
Dec 31: 3.25 million
2014
March 31: 3.90 million
June 30: 4.70 million
Sept 30: 5.5 million
Dec 31: 11.00 million
So, if Wii U sales continues in this way, PS4 will outsell Wii U until 2015 (I think that PS4 will have slow sales on it's 1º year on the market), but if Wii U sales get better with more games and a price cut, probably it won't be outsell



"By the end of 2014"
The most likely option of all(99%). You can rely on that.
The most unlikely - "Never!"(1%)



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pezus said:
Heck, PS4 has probably outsold WiiU already

Hey, you've got the hang of it! That's the correct way to handle these threads!



Egann said:

Here I go with a complicated prediction.

The PS4 will overtake the Wii U during the Christmas 2014 season as it becomes the superior standalone console. The Wii U will overtake the PS4 again some time between 2017 and 2019 as the Gen 8 consoles hit midlife and the Wii U demonstrates itself to be a superior support/ secondary console.


Unlikely, given this time period is pretty much when Nintendo will launch their next console.



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