@Dark_Feanor
Because everyone needs a cell phone and Apple has everyone brainwashed. Not to mention they have subsidized contracts so the iPhone is basically the same price as every other smartphone under contract.

PS2 dominated in US and 360 outsold PS3 there. So it doesn't mean jack squat.

That part is where the catch 22 comes in. It's expensive because of the kinect stuff mostly for the casuals but the same causals wont buy it because it's expensive.

This year?  No, not unless Sony has produced that many more consoles than microsoft.  They will both be supply constrained throughout the holidays, and probably well into the next year.  Whoever sells the most initially will just boil down to whoever can make the most units.

now, next year, it may be a good prediction to make, or not.  Too early to tell really.

smartphone are not console this is a different  story.

And ps2 sold more then the first xbox and xbox360 that mean it is not really true that xbox brand is bigger then playstation brand in USA

I personally think Xbox will still rule the roost in the U.S.

In the long run, it may end up close in NA but in the EU and the rest of the world. Now that would definitely be another story altogether.

But I'm pretty doubtful anyone would lead in the first year, especially with the usual production constraints and all that jazz.

We will wait and see which version of multi games make more money. Ps4 will allow used games aswell as the xbox one but in a smarter way. Even if you buy a used game on xbox the devs will still make money. In the end this can be a big benefit for the xbox one. More publishers will continue to support the xbox because of this. They might even force Sony to do the same if ps4 version of games dont make as much money as xbox one titles. All this DRM stuff is the future of gaming, just look at steam and other services similar to it.

Plus why did both Microsoft and Sony only show 1 model of each console?
What if Microsoft has plans for a cheaper xbox for casuals?
There is still a few months away from launch and the xbox sure has some amazing games coming aswell as the "entertainment" side covered for casuals.

100% true. That was thee main reason the 360 gained so much traction in the U.S. Consumers weren't loyal to Sony back then, and they won't be loyal to MS this Holiday.