I suspect that our friend, and this site are probably overestimating the Wii U sales. I simply don't understand what in fact justifies the purchase, and it isn't simply the case of me being more knowledgeable then the average consumer. The console isn't just flying under the radar. Anytime the blip does show up on the radar it is usually the media just tearing the console to ribbons as a complete and utter failure. So almost all the exposure is brutally negative. That should actually scare most consumers away. Especially given the consoles price tag. How much of a impulse buy can it really be?
As for his opinion about Nintendo holding out for major first party releases to move the console. I hope for the sake of the Nintendo fans. That he is dead wrong, and that Nintendo will try to jump start some kind of offensive within the next month. The console wont survive nine months of solid negative publicity, and absolutely no real support from its manufacturer.
I know a lot of people like to cite the PS3 as an example of a possible turnaround, but the two aren't similar in the least. The biggest difference is that Sony fought tooth and nail for their console. They constantly came up with new ways to promote and sell their console. Sometimes it feels like Nintendo wants their console to fail so they can move onto something else. Perhaps making a more mainstream console, or getting an excuse to move right into third party development.