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COMG! Japan Pre-order Chart Thread - Daily updates!

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zorg1000 said:
outlawauron said:

I'd say that both are true. It's likely to be low due to all of the platforms it's been on before. However, the game has never been on a Nintendo platform, so you'd expect a lot more than what the PS4 port did.

That's assuming that Switch owners who are Final Fantasy fans never played it on PS2, PS3, Vita, PS4 or Steam.

It's about the odds of double dipping. I own it on PS2, PS3, and PS4. The people who are targeted by these releases are people who missed it completely or big time fans of the series. Considering backlog culture, I wouldn't be surprised if people own it on PC/PS4 but buy it again on Switch to have it on a handheld.

Megiddo said:

I don't think there's a particularly large overlap between Switch owners and PS3/Vita/PS4 owners, let alone the tiny speck that is PC gaming in Japan.

I'd say 75k is the ceiling for the initial week of Days Gone, likely closer to 50k.

There's definitely some overlap. Final Fantasy has a very targeted market and that market is most likely to own a Playstation platform. It's about convincing those who haven't played a mainline FF in a while to give it a shot.



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zorg1000 said:
Megiddo said:

And the 180k who got it first week on PS3 as well. And the 130k first week on the Vita.

This is the first time FFX/X-2 is on a Nintendo device, no? That's a ton of new potential buyers.

That's not really how it works. The majority of people who are interested in FFX/X2 Remaster would have gotten it on one of the 4 platforms it released on between Dec 2013-May 2016.

A late port of a late port of a late port of a remaster is not likely to sell much regardless of being the first time on an ecosystem.

Really cool and original insight, I wish I had noticed that.



   
   
theDX said:
zorg1000 said:

That's not really how it works. The majority of people who are interested in FFX/X2 Remaster would have gotten it on one of the 4 platforms it released on between Dec 2013-May 2016.

A late port of a late port of a late port of a remaster is not likely to sell much regardless of being the first time on an ecosystem.

Really cool and original insight, I wish I had noticed that.

I'm not sure if you're serious or mocking me lol



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Nuvendil said:
theDX said:

Maybe if FFXVI was known to come to Switch.

This is a port of a port of a remaster. It will sell accordingly.

This is the part people seem to ignore.  Final Fantasy hasn't had a new entry in ages or any entry past 6 on a Nintendo machine.  That's 25 years of doing nothing to build or maintain an audience there.  It's not like all the FF fans from the SNES days have stubbornly dug in their heels and ignored the franchise for more than two decades, persistently buying only machines that never see an entry.

And the same goes for other franchises and publishers that have ignored Nintendo platforms for extended periods, it will take time to fully establish an audience there.

That's only if you just count the mainline titles.

Starting Gamecube, Nintendo got the FF Chrystal Chronicles series instead, with 2 games and a couple spinoffs, and let's not forget FF Tactics Advance/A2



Day of the year Sony points Nintendo points Sony games Nintendo games Sony ratio Nintendo ratio
7-Jan-2019 793 53 18 2 44 27
21-Jan-2019 934 8 19 1 49 8
4-Feb-2019 385 14 19 1 20 14
18-Feb-2019 435 39 17 3 26 13
4-Mar-2019 429 53 16 4 27 13
18-Mar-2019 396 127 13 7 30 18
25-Mar-2019 145 130 13 7 11 19
8-Apr-2019 162 130 12 8 14 16
9-Apr-2019 169 135 12 8 14 17
10-Apr-2019 169 136 12 8 14 17
11-Apr-2019 167 143 11 9 15 16
12-Apr-2019 154 136 11 9 14 15
13-Apr-2019 159 139 12 8 13 17
14-Apr-2019 160 142 12 8 13 18
15-Apr-2019 159 154 11 9 14 17
16-Apr-2019 159 155 11 9 14 17
Average 2019 449 66 16 4 28 16


Bofferbrauer2 said:
Nuvendil said:

This is the part people seem to ignore.  Final Fantasy hasn't had a new entry in ages or any entry past 6 on a Nintendo machine.  That's 25 years of doing nothing to build or maintain an audience there.  It's not like all the FF fans from the SNES days have stubbornly dug in their heels and ignored the franchise for more than two decades, persistently buying only machines that never see an entry.

And the same goes for other franchises and publishers that have ignored Nintendo platforms for extended periods, it will take time to fully establish an audience there.

That's only if you just count the mainline titles.

Starting Gamecube, Nintendo got the FF Chrystal Chronicles series instead, with 2 games and a couple spinoffs, and let's not forget FF Tactics Advance/A2

I do only count those because both CC and Tactics were shortlived and neither had anywhere near the staying power or pull of the mainline entries.  Combined they maybe held on to a fraction of the growing fanbase for a brief time.  A negligible impact in the grand scheme of things