Smash doing a 30+ points again!
Pocky Lover Boy!
That's how you do it Smash! Just one more day like that and 900 points is yours! Like Tbone said though, last days are weird. If it keeps this up though it'll come very close to Splatoon 2. I'm going to go a bit bolder than Tbone and say that 2 million FW is within reach. With ratios approaching 2000:1 lately for COMG Switch games, Smash would have to be an outlier to do much worse than 1.8 million, and that's not counting digital. All Smash has to do is act like other Switch games and follow the trend and 2 million FW would not even be a surprise.
I'm not as crazy as Tbone and Ryng, I predict more than 1 million and it to have very amazing legs, so in the end we might end up at the same place. I think this title will have amazing digital output so 1.3-1.5 million is possible with digital for first 3 days.
Last edited by Acevil - on 04 December 2018
Acevil said: I'm not as crazy as Tbone and Ryng, I predict more than 1 million and it to have very amazing legs, so in the end we might end up at the same place. I think this title will have amazing digital output so 1.3-1.5 million is possible with digital for first 3 days. |
Hylian trying to outdo us lol. I wonder if they are going to count the bundles that were presold?
Wasnt MHW in a similar situation last year??
ooof prediction time, so in terms of points its likely gonna come under splatoon 2. We know splatoon 2 opened to ~675,000. Now this woulda been the defining factor if pokemon lets go didn't come out. Pokemon lets go opened to 661,240 with a point score of 279. So that was a ratio of 2.37 extrapolated. If we applied that to this score it would be insane we would be looking at ~2133032 MILLION UNITS SOLD!
so to narrow this a little further we have to look at the last iteration games that came out and see their attach ratios.
With that said smash for 3ds opened with 958,317 to a HW base of ~16m. Due to the 3ds's popularity guaranteed that multiple 3d's belong to the same users. so just gonna average that out to ~15.5m. This was back in 2014 so 3 and a half years after the initial release. We can deduce that by that point initial users likely would have stopped playing the handheld or it simply broke. lastly factoring in that this was the first smash iteration which is a fighter on the 3ds that wasn't known for the genre we can bump that down a heck of a lot more to ~4m (my guess). lol with that possibly made up number we get an attach ratio of 23% of those who may be into the genre buying this game. Extrapolating that for switch we get 5.2m*.23 = 1.2m.
LITT LOL SO I HAVE MY NUMBERS. Anything between 1.2m-2.1m units.
konnichiwa said:
Kind of sad that Berseria was basically the only PS4 game. Zesteria was a PS3 game that also got a port for PS4(but basically felt like a PS3 game) and then Vesperia another port. |
maybe next year we could see another mainline entry...
Days | SSB Ultimate | SSB 3DS | SSB Wii U | SSB 4 all | |
21 | 147 | 53 | 15 | 17 | 32 |
20 | 140 | 110 | 15 | 19 | 34 |
19 | 133 | 137 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
18 | 126 | 155 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
17 | 119 | 181 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
16 | 112 | 208 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
15 | 105 | 226 | 28 | 23 | 51 |
14 | 98 | 238 | 30 | 25 | 55 |
13 | 91 | 256 | 45 | 26 | 71 |
12 | 84 | 272 | 86 | 27 | 113 |
11 | 77 | 294 | 143 | 25 | 168 |
10 | 70 | 322 | 179 | 25 | 204 |
9 | 63 | 340 | 216 | 26 | 242 |
8 | 56 | 352 | 264 | 31 | 295 |
7 | 49 | 367 | 307 | 31 | 338 |
6 | 42 | 376 | 359 | 49 | 408 |
5 | 35 | 394 | 419 | 76 | 495 |
4 | 28 | 451 | 509 | 102 | 611 |
3 | 21 | 527 | 584 | 117 | 701 |
2 | 14 | 641 | 650 | 155 | 805 |
1 | 7 | 752 | 798 | 211 | 1009 |
6 | 783 | 854 | 229 | 1083 | |
5 | 818 | 909 | 230 | 1139 | |
4 | 838 | 940 | 234 | 1174 | |
3 | 870 | 982 | 242 | 1224 | |
2 | 1018 | 245 | 1263 | ||
1 | 1066 | 251 | 1317 |
Acevil said: I'm not as crazy as Tbone and Ryng, I predict more than 1 million and it to have very amazing legs, so in the end we might end up at the same place. I think this title will have amazing digital output so 1.3-1.5 million is possible with digital for first 3 days. |
Predicting biggest numbers doesn't mean be crazy, you are actually crazier than us with that prediction. ;)
The ratio won't be as crazy as people are predicting. Pokemon LGP/LGE is a casual game hence the higher ratio. Smash usually does a 1:1 ratio, and I predict 800-1000k range.
1.5 million is a big big stretch for Smash
ZODIARKrebirth said:
maybe next year we could see another mainline entry... |
Doubt it, Berseria was announced in the middle of 15 and released a year later in Japan and early 17 in the West. Best case would probably be a game that releases in 2020 in Japan for PS4/PS5 and later for PS5 in the West?