Im sure pokemon will sell just fine. But im glad the game will not be that popular so they realise core audience is really important to the franchise.

another 1 point for code vein and that even without a release date

Both smash and Pokémon will outsell Splatoon.... double/ triple even.

Both games are holiday releases. Points will increase massively approaching the holidays. 

It doesn’t work like what you’re are currently comparing. Averaging points make no sense.

In Japan? In Japan?

You're nuts.

I think Game Freak already knows the core audience is important. Why do you think Pokemon is still Pokemon and selling 15+ million each new main line game (not counting third games and remakes) after 20+ years? They even announced the next game in 2019 will maintain the core elements of previous games in the mainline series, including battling and catching wild Pokemon.

Pokemon Let's Go is an opportunity to add in more fans into the main series, especially those who have not played Pokemon since Gen I or maybe Gen II. Apparently, a some people of this particular group are playing Pokemon Go, which has actually shown an increase in active users compared to last year.

https://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2018-06-27-pokemon-go-player-count-at-highest-since-2016-summer-launch

Whether it works or not will depend on a variety of factors, but it doesn't seem to hurt to try to convert some of them, at least a few million of the Pokemon Go active users, to the main line games.

Yeah i do know all that, but i mean i'm glad Let's go seem to be less popular than mainline pokemon games or else we could have seen more casual elements in the main series. Which will probably happen, but i hope they make a more difficult and less kiddy game, like X/Y was just too childish for me. 

I just want a hard mode from the start that's not a lot to ask for an RPG lmao.

I think he means FW, not lifetime.

Splatoon 2 did ~650k FW, so 2-3 times that would be 1.3-1.95 million which will be tough but possible to achieve as Smash 4 (both versions) had an opening of ~1.2 million and the average opening for Pokemon on 3DS was over 1.5 million.

I agree that 2-3x is too optimistic, im thinking 1.5-2x is more likely.

I wasn't initially saying it looked low, i was trying to predict FW sales, based off the preorders so far being about 60% of Smash preorders. Then i was told the FW sales of the pokemon titles from 3ds era and in comparison it seems to be doing ok for a remaster/remake. On the face of it they look a bit low but with 4 SKU's it does seem to be regularly picking up points.

I didnt mean just you, there was an article i saw posted on Resetera (cant remember original source) titled "Pokemon Lets Go pre-orders are failing" pr something along those lines and used Amazon rankings and Comg numbers to show it was doing bad without considering the fact that its available for pre-order much sooner than most Pokemon games.

If its trailing games like X/Y & OR/AS by a sizeable margin when they finally enter aligned comparisons than yeah it becomes a valid argument.