well i think wiiu will get a price cut only after ps4 and nextbox have come out with a price. same thing happen with the 3ds when sony announced vita's price a month later 3ds was dropped. now i also believe that if ps4 and xbox are 450 or higher they might not drop it at all and wait until after the holidays. they will have many games out and if that proves to be enough to boost sales they might stick with this price. also nintendo was making money on 3ds original price on hardware sales whereas wiiu current price does not.

I think they may do a 'holiday price cut' like Microsoft did a couple years ago, shave $50 off both SKU's (and letting the basic disappear altogether, to be replaced with a larger bundle hopefully) for the months of November & December, then follow around in spring/early summer of 2014 with an official price cut.

apparently retailers are cutting it for them. At Target you can get the Basic set for $239.99.
throw in SMBU for an extra $39.99
http://www.target.com/p/wii-u-8gb-basic-set-console-white-nintendo-wii-u/-/A-14174036#prodSlot=medium_1_1&term=wii+u

That seems pretty likely. I was also thinking a cut in August would make sense since thats when they start releasing games on a consistent basis and could give it a good push leading up to the holidays.

After I've been thinking about it I reckon we'll see a $50 price cut in October to coincide with the release of 3D Mario.

Nintendo were only making a small loss on each unit sold at launch and 11 months after launch manufacturing costs would probably come down by that time for them to break even. You've also got to remember that the Yen not being so strong now will also put them in a much better financial position with units sold in the West.

I can see the Basic SKU being $249.99, the Premium SKU being $299.99, the PS4 being either $449.99 or $499.99 and the One being priced the same.

Both the PS4 and One are going to really struggle after Christmas and due to supply constraints I can't see either one selling over 1.5m before the end of the year. The Wii U should have an installed userbase over 8m before the end of the year, my guess would be over 10m given the software on the way between now and 31st December.

I wonder how many gaming journalists are going to harp on about Sony and Microsoft needing to go third party when this happens lol.

I think Nintendo has kind of backed itself into a corner, regarding it's profit forecast for the upcoming fiscal year, which is why I think you'll see just a 'holiday-window' discount (plus some new bundles) for November/December, and then hold off until after April 1st before issuing a formal, permanent price cut.