The ouya is a new open source console that any dev can make games for. It has a NVIDIA tegra 3 processor, 1GB ram, and 8GB of internal storage which can be expanded using via USB.  Every game is free to try and every ouya comes with tools so even players can make thier own games for ouya. The console is $99 and is not meant to compete with the bigger consoles. It is also said that emulators may show up on ouya and runs on android. The console is set to launch in June but has already been shipped to kickstarter backers. Keeping all this in mind will ouya be succesful and  what will lifetime sales be like for it?  Discuss in the comments below.

Well the first reports aren´t really that great. And many people just backed that thing because they wanted a new console. So my guess would be it won´t sell much, but I am not sure wheter ot will be success because most of the development costs where covered by a third party. And I am pretty sure the production of it is pretty cheap. I say it will about 5 million copies in 3 years.

My guess would be 10 million tops. I fail to see a market for this thing. Gamers will buy PS4/Nextbox/WiiU, non-gamers have their smartphone. End of story.

I think 4/5 million maybe less only because they are meant to bring out a new model every year

No, at least not the first generation Ouya. Their annual upgrade model doesn't sit well with me either, the price of an Ouya is a substantial % of the amount I spend on games in a year. And having to buy one annually will work out to be about the same expenditure on hardware as the normal 5-6 yearly console purchase, more if you generally buy a console mid-late cycle.

Edit: not to mention I hate the thought of all that annual upgrade e-waste, if they have a recycling programme for the old Ouya's I'd be less uneasy about that aspect environmentally speaking.

Ouya also made a mistake by going for Android. Why didn't they go pure Linux? Perhaps Google is backing them a bit?

So Ouya's long term success will be about whether the backers are undeterred by poor sales in the first, second and even third generation. If they have a 5-10 year plan to profitability and good sales they will be able to refine their model and deliver a product to which consumers will respond. If they expect good sales and profitability inside 1 or 2 years then I think they'll fail and shut up shop just like Onlive has done.

So few, it will make the Vita look like the PS2.

The Kickstarter campaign only raised 60K backers and the hype is almost dead, therefore I would guess perhaps 500K lifetime and certainly not over 1 million.

I would guess 200k lifetime and the company shutters before an Ouya 2 is released. At any rate the word "million" won't come near this thing.

Less than a million. Whoever thought this would be a good idea is crazy!

1 billion. I mean it's only $99 and will have all those games that are apparently going to kill consoles this gen.