Forums - Nintendo Discussion - (WiiU reaches 3m) WiiU Prediction. Will not sell less than 8m total units by 2014

By January 2014 WiiU will have sold 8-11m.   Meaning no less than 8m and no higher than 11m.  This is my prediction.  Table below to see where I stand.

Now that people like to call doom and gloom all the time I thought I'd give a little prediction on the matter.  So far we have seen the WiiU have a pretty decent launch and then numbers began to fall sharply after the holiday season for a number of reasons.   One would be that people really don't know what the WiiU is, but instead think it is controller.  Now as time goes by more and more people will learn that this is in fact a console.

Let's move on though.  What does the WiiU really have at this moment?  

Nintendo Land
New Super Mario Bros U
ZombiU
Lego City

Now really New Super Mario Bros U is the only system seller but once again with a title that is so similar to the previous installment that really nobody knows it is a different game once again.  This would explain why this game hasnt been flying off shelves, yet wait for it.....It has with 1.66m sold to date.  This is considering that the WiiU has sold 2.81m consoles.  I do not believe that New Super Mario Bros U is a system seller though simply because people 1.  Do not know it is new and 2.  It needs assistance of a few other games to be bought which in the future it will get from Pikmin and Zelda.  No Pikmin isn't a system seller either but Zelda is. Not to mention 3D mario and Mario Kart U.  Oh and wait the Xenoblade game and Wonderful101

Now with that said here comes the big one.  We know that Pikmin and Zelda is coming this year, however what about 3D Mario and Mario Kart U?  Now maybe I missed some news somewhere but if those can release this holiday expect the WiiU to have numbers that rivals the 3DS during the Holidays.  Also I want you all to notice the sells spike since Lego City has released.  That isn't even a big system seller.  Now imagine when nintendo releases big games, something you guys have been trying to ignore.  And yeah we don't even know what is going to be at E3, maybe even more announcements.

Now wait one second, you also have the new consoles coming out that is NeXbox and PS4.  Will they hold the WiiU back?  This is something I don't really see either one effecting too much unless the NeXbox truly does release with a 99$ option.  The reason is because people love Mario.  They want to buy Mario for their kids and MSFT and Sony really isn't going to stop Mario from being popular.  And I will argue and say that holidays are more for kids than anybody else. 

Lastly for my prediction to come true the WiiU needs to sell between 5-8m between now and December.  Something I expect it to achieve.  

Oh and one last thing, Vgchartz, put the WiiU on the front page.  

(Update)  I missed a week so if anybody can give me last weeks number that would be great.

WiiU        
Total Weekly Low End Prediction left Mid Prediction High End Prediction
2.97m 32,115k 5.03m  6.8m 8.03m
3.04m 32,460k 4.96m 6.73m 7.96m





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We won't see the console's on the front page switch until all next gen consoles are out.

They did the same with the 3DS/Vita.

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1) VGC won't change front page until others launch.
2) I agree with your general prediction.

"Oh and one last thing, Vgchartz, put the WiiU on the front page. Remove the Wii now. The Wii has been all but dead for a while."
So you want the Wii U to fight in the seventh generation while also being a next generation console? Cognitive dissonance, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance



chris_wing said:

"Oh and one last thing, Vgchartz, put the WiiU on the front page. Remove the Wii now. The Wii has been all but dead for a while."
So you want the Wii U to fight in the seventh generation while also being a next generation console? Cognitive dissonance, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance


No, I want to be able to see the numbers week after week instead of searching for them.  Nothing to do with a battle between 7th and 8th gen.  I understand why it is not on front page though.






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JayWood2010 said:
chris_wing said:

"Oh and one last thing, Vgchartz, put the WiiU on the front page. Remove the Wii now. The Wii has been all but dead for a while."
So you want the Wii U to fight in the seventh generation while also being a next generation console? Cognitive dissonance, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance


No, I want to be able to see the numbers week after week instead of searching for them.  Nothing to do with a battle between 7th and 8th gen.  I understand why it is not on front page though.

Then why did you say to remove the Wii and replace it with the Wii U?  That would suggest the Wii U is taking on the fight of it's fallen brother, the seventh gen fight.



chris_wing said:
JayWood2010 said:
chris_wing said:

"Oh and one last thing, Vgchartz, put the WiiU on the front page. Remove the Wii now. The Wii has been all but dead for a while."
So you want the Wii U to fight in the seventh generation while also being a next generation console? Cognitive dissonance, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance


No, I want to be able to see the numbers week after week instead of searching for them.  Nothing to do with a battle between 7th and 8th gen.  I understand why it is not on front page though.

Then why did you say to remove the Wii and replace it with the Wii U?  That would suggest the Wii U is taking on the fight of it's fallen brother, the seventh gen fight.


Really?  It couldnt be just because I want it on the front page?  Or how about vgchartz just putting the WiiU on the front page and keep the Wii on there?

I'm not going to explain myself any further.  I know what I meant and i believe you do too






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7-8m is what it will be by decembers end.



to make your prediction it needs to sell a minimum of 150k per week starting now.

good luck.

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I think somewhere between 7 and 9 million is more realistic.

According to a new study; YouTube, Xbox.com, NeoGaf, N4G, VGChartz, IGN, GameSpot, GameStop, Facebook, Twitter, Amazon, All of Europe, FAMITSU, Japan, the rest of Asia and The whole of the Middle East among countless others are experiencing a Tsunami of people in love with Sony's gamings offerings.