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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - #1 Retail Game On EShop! Speculation to Why Fire Emblem Sold Over 350k

 

Does My Speculation Work Out That FE Awakening has over 100k Downloads?

Yes It makes Perfect Sense 35 36.84%
 
Its seems like a good arguement 20 21.05%
 
Somewhat effective 10 10.53%
 
Not Really getting your Speculation 11 11.58%
 
Srry Nope 19 20.00%
 
Total:95



So this thread is to show Everybody Why I believe Fire Emblem Awakening has over 350k In its First week (with digitals).


[Theory] Digital Sales have over 100k.

[Fact]

⇒Now first of all we all know that FE has gotten 200k retail copies sold.

⇒There are lots of sales in the Download Department due to the shortage of Retail Copies.

⇒Fire Emblem as of this post is the 9th most downloaded software of all time on the 3DS Nintendo eShop of NoA

⇒In order to rate a title on the 3DS eshop you need to own a copy/digital of it.

⇒Excite Bike is Currently the 14th most downloaded title on 3DS eShop of NoA (5 places after FE)

⇒Excite Bike can only be downloaded (this is meant for my formula)

⇒Excite Bike has a little over 23k ratings.

⇒Any Titles (Top 13) Have over 23k software downloads due to the fact Excite Bike has 23k ratings and can only be obtained via download(no retail).

⇒Im Always Right! JK (im joking is a Fact )

↓↓↓Formula↓↓↓

Fire Emblem obviously has over 23k Digital sales due to the facts above.

Ask yourself how much percent of people take out of there own time to do a rating? 5%,10%,20%,50%?

Well due to this fact wat ever percent you choose Excite Bike will have that multiply by the factor of the percentage!

So lets say half of people (50%) do it which is not even close.

Then its 46k Excite Bike has sold! And Since FE is ahead of it that must mean 50k!

Here are some examples of what percentage it is you think

33%=70k
25%=92k
20%=115k
10%=230k

Also then to remember that its just for Excite Bikes # and Fire Emblem Awakening is ahead of that!

What do you guys think now? Pls I hope this has been helpful!






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Very consistent theory, but we will only be sure when nintendo say something about it



 

 

 

100k is pushing it honestly. If I remember correctly, 5-10% of sales from New Super Mario Bros 2 came from digital in the U.S. as per Nintendo's Investors report. I think that percentage is higher with Fire Emblem pushing it towards the 20% range due to the low availability of the product. Consequently, sales should be around the 40-50k range in NOA.



Sounds pretty accurate, though it might be close to 80k. Since I've been hearing a lot about shortages and people downloading it instead. 40% seems right for me.

So good job Fire Emblem!! :D

And more power to Nintendo not having to spend money on retail copies and such. So everyone wins!



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I make bad threads.  

SSB really went downhill after Melee....

Manlet Crew

To be honest I think no. The rating vary from Excite bike at 23k and #9 Sakura Samurai coming in at 7k.

I'd say around 50k Max.



http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/profile/92109/nintendopie/ Nintendopie  Was obviously right and I was obviously wrong. I will forever be a lesser being than them. (6/16/13)

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350k in it's first week would be huge for a game like Fire Emblem. I don't really think it's possible.



TheBardsSong said:
350k in it's first week would be huge for a game like Fire Emblem. I don't really think it's possible.



dont bet on it, FE is way more popular than ever, It will be to hit a mil in the franchise and it will do alot more!



350k seems really high. I'd go with around 50k from the eShop.



Your formula is not consistent and probably would be impossible to be consistent. Excitebike is DL only and is different then FE. So the ratings/buyers will be different. An earlier FE would be a better comparison if possible. Anyways my guess is 50k-90k max DL for FE, but who knows you could be completely right or it could be more.



My guess is 35k.