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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Pachter says the Wii U optimistically will sell around 40- 45 M units LTD.

chriscox1121 said:
Tarumon said:
http://www.statista.com/markets/14/topic/114/video-games-gaming/chart/343/nintendo-s-home-console-sales/

For the past 3 Nintendo consoles, year 1 was not a good indication of life time sales but year 2 definitely was either the peak or led to the peak. 3DS' 3rd year might be Wiiesque.

Wii U needs some fire power this year or Pachter might be right.


I agree, Nintendo really needs to established the U this Christmas and use it as a spring board going into 2014 with big software titles and perhaps a few exclusive surprises.  


I could agree with this. They need the holiday season and the children and to push the Wii Fit home with the casual parents of those children.



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ninjablade said:
archbrix said:
ninjablade said:
archbrix said:
People need to be realistic here. Pointing to sales in Europe right now or the fact that WiiU was outsold by the competition this holiday as a solid indication of how well WiiU will be selling in the future is a flawed metric for many reasons. Have people forgotten how the PS360 were outsold by the PS2 for the first couple of years, how the GBA outsold the DS initially, or how the 3DS was barely managing 60k a week globally there for a while?

Just wait until next holiday when the cheaper WiiU and some big games go up against the new consoles. And how about its third and fourth holidays as low as $199 with a solid library and a new Mario Kart or Smash Bros? That's likely when we'll see it looking like 360 and PS3 did this last holiday.

Pachter's prediction is set low, but the people thinking WiiU is only going to manage 30 or 35m globally in its entire life are kidding themselves.

360 sold 1.1 million units in december 2006, with ps2 selling 1.4 million, 2005 360 was sold out every sinlge system availble at launch, so even though ps2 out sold it, 360 had healthy numbers and had a crazy attach ratio with games.

Except perhaps for the game attach ratio, I don't think you're making the case you think you are.

The WiiU outsold the 360 by over 1m units by the end of their respective launch years, so its numbers are plenty healthy. And am I to assume you believe WiiU won't manage 1.1m in December 2013? If so, you're likely in for a surprise.

i will put i'm a dumb donkey under my sig if wii u does 1.1 million  units in december 2013 npd.

 

Sorry to bump this thread again, Vgchartz... I just wanted the above statement preserved.



archbrix said:
ninjablade said:
archbrix said:
ninjablade said:
archbrix said:
People need to be realistic here. Pointing to sales in Europe right now or the fact that WiiU was outsold by the competition this holiday as a solid indication of how well WiiU will be selling in the future is a flawed metric for many reasons. Have people forgotten how the PS360 were outsold by the PS2 for the first couple of years, how the GBA outsold the DS initially, or how the 3DS was barely managing 60k a week globally there for a while?

Just wait until next holiday when the cheaper WiiU and some big games go up against the new consoles. And how about its third and fourth holidays as low as $199 with a solid library and a new Mario Kart or Smash Bros? That's likely when we'll see it looking like 360 and PS3 did this last holiday.

Pachter's prediction is set low, but the people thinking WiiU is only going to manage 30 or 35m globally in its entire life are kidding themselves.

360 sold 1.1 million units in december 2006, with ps2 selling 1.4 million, 2005 360 was sold out every sinlge system availble at launch, so even though ps2 out sold it, 360 had healthy numbers and had a crazy attach ratio with games.

Except perhaps for the game attach ratio, I don't think you're making the case you think you are.

The WiiU outsold the 360 by over 1m units by the end of their respective launch years, so its numbers are plenty healthy. And am I to assume you believe WiiU won't manage 1.1m in December 2013? If so, you're likely in for a surprise.

i will put i'm a dumb donkey under my sig if wii u does 1.1 million  units in december 2013 npd.

 

Sorry to bump this thread again, Vgchartz... I just wanted the above statement preserved.

lol its not gonna happen, preserve it.



While I don't agree with his logic, I finally agree with a prediction by Pachter. Though I'm not agreeing with the why, probably around 40-45 million units sold is a good guess for Wii U as it is.



ninjablade said:
archbrix said:
ninjablade said:

i will put i'm a dumb donkey under my sig if wii u does 1.1 million  units in december 2013 npd.

 

Sorry to bump this thread again, Vgchartz... I just wanted the above statement preserved.

lol its not gonna happen, preserve it.

The fact that you specified NPD data (as opposed to WW sales), it's certainly possible that it may not. But the beauty of it is that I didn't even have to wager a bet for you to declare it.



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archbrix said:
ninjablade said:
archbrix said:
ninjablade said:

i will put i'm a dumb donkey under my sig if wii u does 1.1 million  units in december 2013 npd.

 

Sorry to bump this thread again, Vgchartz... I just wanted the above statement preserved.

lol its not gonna happen, preserve it.

The fact that you specified NPD data (as opposed to WW sales), it's certainly possible that it may not. But the beauty of it is that I didn't even have to wager a bet for you to declare it.

logic tells me if wiiu sold 470,000 at launch with mario in december and no supply issue, then its  impossible for it do 1.1 million in december 2013.



so SNES repeat eh.



ninjablade said:
archbrix said:
ninjablade said:
archbrix said:
ninjablade said:

i will put i'm a dumb donkey under my sig if wii u does 1.1 million  units in december 2013 npd.

 

Sorry to bump this thread again, Vgchartz... I just wanted the above statement preserved.

lol its not gonna happen, preserve it.

The fact that you specified NPD data (as opposed to WW sales), it's certainly possible that it may not. But the beauty of it is that I didn't even have to wager a bet for you to declare it.

logic tells me if wiiu sold 470,000 at launch with mario in december and no supply issue, then its  impossible for it do 1.1 million in december 2013.

i wouldn't count ninty out just yet mate. Mario isn't ninty's only big hit.



MARCUSDJACKSON said:
ninjablade said:
archbrix said:
ninjablade said:
archbrix said:
ninjablade said:

i will put i'm a dumb donkey under my sig if wii u does 1.1 million  units in december 2013 npd.

 

Sorry to bump this thread again, Vgchartz... I just wanted the above statement preserved.

lol its not gonna happen, preserve it.

The fact that you specified NPD data (as opposed to WW sales), it's certainly possible that it may not. But the beauty of it is that I didn't even have to wager a bet for you to declare it.

logic tells me if wiiu sold 470,000 at launch with mario in december and no supply issue, then its  impossible for it do 1.1 million in december 2013.

i wouldn't count ninty out just yet mate. Mario isn't ninty's only big hit.

outside of wiisports, mario is the only heavy hitter.



ninjablade said:

outside of wiisports, mario is the only heavy hitter.


You really don't know what you're talking about, do you?