It's hard to say because we don't know what software they have planned. They should be close if they don't hit their fiscal year shipping goals. I would doubt they'll cut the price before then. WiiFitU should drive some sales over summer to a different demographic than the Nintendo fans who snapped it up at launch. So I think fall 2013 at the earliest. There are several questions - how aggressively do they want to get a head start on the competition, like they did with 3DS? How is it selling? Do they have major software that will make the product looking impressive? Is word of mouth spreading? What is the exchange on the yen? If the yen continues to fall and they really want to push the system, I could see a $50 cut to delux and elimination of the basic in time for Christmas.