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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Pokemon X and Pokemon Y Prediction Lifetime Software Sales!

 

How much Software will Pokemon X/Y sell lifetime?

No more than 12mil (worst... 17 8.85%
 
12mil-14mil 22 11.46%
 
14mil-16mil 17 8.85%
 
16mil-18mil 38 19.79%
 
18mil-20mil 39 20.31%
 
20mil-22mil 27 14.06%
 
22mil-24mil 3 1.56%
 
24mil-25mil 3 1.56%
 
25mil+ 25 13.02%
 
Total:191
Conegamer on 09 January 2013

I say 16mil



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

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F0X on 09 January 2013
MDMAlliance said:
F0X said:
Pineapple said:
F0X said:
Pineapple said:

1996: Blue/Red
97:  Nothing
98: Yellow
99: Gold/Silver
00:  Crystal
01:  Nothing
02:  Ruby/Sapphire
03: Nothing
04: Fire Red/Leaf Green, as well as Emerald (so 2 major Pokemon games in one year)
05: Nothing
06: Diamond/Pearl
07: Nothing
08: Platinum
09: Heart Gold/Soul Silver
10: Black/White
11: Nothing
12: Black/White 2
13: X and Y

Pokemon games have always been a close to annual thing. In the GB era, there were 4 games in 5 years. In the GBA era, we saw 3 games in 4 years. On the DS, we saw 5 games in 7 years.

 

 


Mario Kart follows a completely different model. Going by the history of Pokemon sales, I find it very unlikely for B/W2 to sell so little in its second year on the market. I haven't seen nor heard of any main Pokemon game making such a huge drop in sales. Granted, I've hardly heard of a new Pokemon generation starting so soon after the end of the previous one.


3 years?  Black and White 2 are part of Gen V.  


I think you misunderstand me. I consider B/W2 to be the end of Gen V, and I'm pointing out that X/Y (Gen VI) is releasing the year following B/W2's year of release, or as I prefer to say, Gen VI is releasing the year after the end of Gen V.



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supermariodance on 09 January 2013

I say 16m to 18m.It will be huge and I will definitely pick it up for christmas 2013 ;)



Jaywood2010 on 09 January 2013

14-18m




       

Augen on 09 January 2013

Pokemon X - 8 million
Pokemon Y - 7 million
Total - 15 million

If Pokemon Z is released I give that another 3 million to push it to 18 total.



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KHlover on 09 January 2013

16-18Mil easily, if it is as good as Gen2 it'll manage over 20Mil.



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DieAppleDie on 09 January 2013

voted for 20-22m
but dunno, i think it can either "bomb" or break records at this point
i think it will do better than 20m



tbone51 on 09 January 2013
Augen said:
Pokemon X - 8 million
Pokemon Y - 7 million
Total - 15 million

If Pokemon Z is released I give that another 3 million to push it to 18 total.



No problem with your predictions, just the third version (Z). The lowest 3rd installment in pokemon game (yellow,crstal,emerald,platinum,) is the current Pokemon BW2 and thats over 6mil, 6.25 to be exact and its not even been a year which means it can get up over 8mil! I doubt 3 mil! Japan alone would get that lol



KHlover on 09 January 2013
DieAppleDie said:
voted for 20-22m
but dunno, i think it can either "bomb" or break records at this point
i think it will do better than 20m

I'm fairly certain it won't bomb. Literally EVERYONE remotely interested in Pokemon seems to be excited about this game, unlike Gen5. It really has the chance for the number 2 spot in the top ten Pokemon games it seems. GameFreak has always delivered yet^^



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Augen on 09 January 2013
tbone51 said:
Augen said:
Pokemon X - 8 million
Pokemon Y - 7 million
Total - 15 million

If Pokemon Z is released I give that another 3 million to push it to 18 total.



No problem with your predictions, just the third version (Z). The lowest 3rd installment in pokemon game (yellow,crstal,emerald,platinum,) is the current Pokemon BW2 and thats over 6mil, 6.25 to be exact and its not even been a year which means it can get up over 8mil! I doubt 3 mil! Japan alone would get that lol

Fair point, my guess was based on 52 weeks of sales for each title, but these games have great legs so 22 mil for the two and 30 mil for the three is possible.