Just as sales for the PS2 collapsed once the PS3 came out?

The Wii hasn't actually hit the magic number, yet, Wii Mini in Canada notwithstanding. The Wii has only just dropped to $129 in the US, which puts it where the PS2 was in 2006 (when the PS2 dropped to $129). It's not going to be bought by avid games, any more, but there are a lot of people who wait for a gaming system to get really cheap before buying them. Such people usually wait until the next generation system comes out, because it guarantees a low price on the system and on most of the games, while having an extensive library to choose from, usually with most of the best games still being available.

Wii sales will be further weakened in 2013 compared with 2012, until Nintendo decides to cut its price further. I think Nintendo is trying out the Wii Mini in Canada because they want to see what impact a scaled back system will have on sales, as they'll be able to make a strong profit on it even at its reduced price. I wouldn't be surprised if, by September 2013, it's released in the US with ethernet added and at $79.

By end of 2013, I think the Wii may manage to reach 103-105 million.

I think it's only got another 850,000 left in it this year. So that would bring it to about 98.9 million.

I'm not saying the Wii U will sell poorly, or that the Wii will do as well as the PS2 did. My comparison was to emphasise that release of the successor doesn't mean that all sales of the older system cease. Nintendo may not be actively making games for the Wii anymore, but it's not like the Gamecube, they're not going to stop selling the system just because the Wii U has released.

And I agree that the Wii isn't going to keep selling as well as the PS2 did. But the PS2 had sold 117.89 million units by March 2007, and kept going until it managed 153.2 million, by March 2011. That's an average of about 9 million a year, with the year from April 2007 to March 2008 bringing in 13.7 million. Expecting the Wii to manage maybe around 3-5 million in 2013 after a price cut to $99 isn't too much of a stretch.

About 99.50M shipped end of year 99.00M sold I think, will be 103M LT min.

This year, it's reasonable to expect the final amount to come to between 5.3 and 6.3 million (that is, 99-100 million LTD), depending on how strong Christmas sales end up being. If the system doesn't sell any more units in any of the remaining weeks than it did in the week ending the 8th, it'll still make it to 5 million. And we all know that sales of ALL available systems will increase over the next two and a half weeks - that is, the weeks leading up to Christmas Day. It may only be a couple of extra thousand, in which case it reaches 5.3 million, and 3 million next year is a reasonable likelihood. It may manage to reach 6.3 million, in which case anywhere up to 5 million next year is plausible (keeping in mind that, if it manages to reach 6.3 million by the end of the year, it will show a strong end-of-year sales pattern that is likely to recur next year, after the price cut).

Have a read of this thread, it went over PS1 lifetime shipments when there was a massive misunderstanding at the time.

Ill have a random guess at 99.3 Million.

100 Million sometime in Feb/March.

The Playstation one is overtracked at vgchartz. Everybody knowes it! Show me a source that puts PSone at 104,25 Million! 102,5 is correct!!

Nah i think it will reach 100 million by March, it's not selling like it used. 250000 this week still isn't bad though

I have no idea where the 104 comes from.

Sony's figures must be true, else they could've gotten into trouble with investors for example. I am puzzled however, why does the report end in 2007 when is was discontinued in 2006 (though there are no new shipments in that time)? :-S

EDIT: Maybe there are 2m PolyStations included .