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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - How many 10 Million sellers will the Wii U have?

Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too early to tell.

If I wanted to play it safe.....

4 at the very least



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NSMB U
Nintendo Land
Mario Kart U
WiiU Fit
3D Mario
Wii U Sports
Smash Bros



                            

Man, that number -- nine games over ten million -- is just mind-boggling.

I'm going to say:

New Super Mario Bros. U
Nintendo Land
Super Smash Bros.
Mario Kart
Wii Fit U
Wii Sports U

I'm a little bearish on the 3D Mario. So I will leave it out. But six ten-million sellers is still amazing. If I had to pick a dark horse, it would be another Donkey Kong Country game.



I'm going to go with

NintendoLand
NSMBU
Mario Kart 8
Wii Fit U
Super Smash Bros Brawl OR the next 3D Mario
Some other casual game
A 3rd party hit (Call of Duty/Just Dance/Some unknown quantity)

I'm guessing 7.



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2

New Super Mario Bros U
Nintendo Land



At the moment NSMBU and Nintendo Land will hit 10m down the line well the latter will definitely hit that mark.



I expect all next gen systems to have dramatically lower sales than this gen and that extents to game sales. Mainly because so much of the market is moving to tablets / other systems (Ouya, Oculis Rift, Steambox).

I don't expect WiiU to sell much more than 30m systems so if any game hits 10m in sales that's a major accomplishment representing 30% of the market, in my view.

NintendoLand is the most likely choice to do so since it's bundled with the version that's actually selling.
NSMBU is a possibility but too similar to NSMBWii and to soon after NSMB3
Mario Kart U is the only other game that might have a chance.

Super Smash Bros - managed 10m on near 100m system. WiiU won't sell close to that, neither will it's SSB
3D Mario - As above
Wii Fit U - Game/exercise craze is long over and nearly dead. Looks almost identical to Wii version. 5m tops.
Wii U Sports - Only if it utilizes Wiimote primarily and the gamepad only as a second screen and be better than WSResort was. Involve the dual-analog and it's a dead duck (at least compared to Wii versions)
Just Dance - Dance craze also starting to fade and WiiU won't have the userbase. Really, there's simply zero reasons for JD fans to upgrade to WiiU.



 

4 and a half.



Gamerace said:
I expect all next gen systems to have dramatically lower sales than this gen and that extents to game sales. Mainly because so much of the market is moving to tablets / other systems (Ouya, Oculis Rift, Steambox).

I don't expect WiiU to sell much more than 30m systems so if any game hits 10m in sales that's a major accomplishment representing 30% of the market, in my view.

[...]

Thirty million units seems so low to me...why so little do you think? Just because of tablets and things like Ouya?

Personally, I'd be shocked if it sold fewer than 50 million lifetime. But I'm interested to read your thinking on this.