Forums - Sales Discussion - The Christmas holiday is coming. Will Vita finally reach 5 mil before 2013?

Sony has asked many in the gaming industry to wait until the  Vita has had it's first Christmas holiday (it'll be it's second since it released in Japan last Christmas holiday) before judging the system as a failure.  Will the Vita finally find breakaway success this holiday after releasing most of it's big name titles? Along with great titles, the PS Vita seem to be having a fire sale this holiday slashing the systems price to $199 and bundling the newly released AC: Liberation (a great game that deserve to sell millions).  With such direction for the handheld, will Sony finally find success for it's portable console on the go?  In my humble opinion the Vita should sell(not ship) at least 5 million units before Christmas day to be considered a non-failure.  Anything less would be considered a bomb in light of all the things Sony has done for the system this holiday and how long the system has been out.  I want to hear what people think is 5 mil units sold for the Vita too much to ask after all this time?  Should the system have a lower expectation 4 mil perhaps or am I suppose to predict higher like 6-8 mil since it is about to have it's first global holiday?  What should Sony expect from the system in light of their current financial situation? http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-11-14/sony-shares-plunge-after-convertible-bond-offer



Around the Network
Well, let's see. It's at 3.2 million now? I think it will manage another 1.5 million before the end of the year. So it will miss the 5 million mark, but just barely.

I know especially since we are so near the busiest time of the year...BF weekend!!! It'll be so sad if it doesn't.

Sell 1.8 million (56% of the current installed base) during the remaining 7 weeks (after November 10th)?

I think that will prove diffcult

Any message from Faxanadu is written in good faith but shall neither be binding nor construed as constituting a commitment by Faxanadu except where provided for in a written agreement signed by an authorized representative of Faxanadu. This message is intended for the use of the forum members only.

The views expressed here may be personal and/or offensive and are not necessarily the views of Faxanadu.

i hope so, it needs some buyers!

Around the Network
Faxanadu said:
Sell 1.8 million (56% of the current installed base) during the remaining 7 weeks (after November 10th)?

I think that will prove diffcult

Well Sony at this point has to say "never say die" as they have really invested a lot to try to turn the Vita around.  IF it doesn't crack 5 mil, 3rd parties are gonna avoid system like an ebola virus!!!



and what difference would it make?
3rd party developers don't care about if there is a 4.7 million or 5.1 million userbase. The Vita is a failure. Why should a 3rd dev support it in a big way except Sony pays them to?

a 3rd party dev has these options:

- iOS / Android / Windows Phone --> Millions of users. (easy to develop for, very low budget, very high potential for the future)
- 3DS --> 25 million users in 2013 (easy to develop for, low budget, high potential for the future)
- 360 / PS3 / PC --> 150 million users (older hardware, mid - high budget, limited potential for the future)
- Wii U --> 5 million users in 2013 (new tech, very high potential, mid-high budget)
-PS Vita --> 5 million users in 2013 (easy to develop for, mid budget, uncertain future)
- Browser games --> millions of users (easy to develop for, low-mid budget, high potential)

Out of all these options, the Vita is probably the one that gets cut first.

"Microsoft is not good at the game of capitalism. They don't believe in naturally being better than their opponents. They create artificial advantages [content] to even pose a threat."

S.T.A.G.E criticises Microsoft.

Difficult numbers!

I remember Psp doing 13m per year, good times for handhelds but since there Iphone has grown and Androids dominate the market.

No chance for Vita.

DirtyP2002 said:
and what difference would it make?
3rd party developers don't care about if there is a 4.7 million or 5.1 million userbase. The Vita is a failure. Why should a 3rd dev support it in a big way except Sony pays them to?

a 3rd party dev has these options:

- iOS / Android / Windows Phone --> Millions of users. (easy to develop for, very low budget, very high potential for the future)
- 3DS --> 25 million users in 2013 (easy to develop for, low budget, high potential for the future)
- 360 / PS3 / PC --> 150 million users (older hardware, mid - high budget, limited potential for the future)
- Wii U --> 5 million users in 2013 (new tech, very high potential, mid-high budget)
-PS Vita --> 5 million users in 2013 (easy to develop for, mid budget, uncertain future)
- Browser games --> millions of users (easy to develop for, low-mid budget, high potential)

Out of all these options, the Vita is probably the one that gets cut first.

Join that Xbox 3 and Ps4 and many milion wont buy Vita when they can buy a new Console like these next year.

Also 3ds most likely 30m.



Around the Network
I don't belive it!!! here in Portugal it's too expensive...