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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Pachter predicts the length of Wii’s momentum (Hilarious!)

I think his prediction makes sense. PS3 $299, Xbox $249, and Wii $199 are very likely to happen in one year.

The next battle for Sony is BD vs DVD. Sony will continuously subsidize PS3 and market it as a BD player. In one year, there will be many BD players on the market below $199 made by other manufacturers. Sony's PS3 will still be the most powerful BD player and people will buy it at the price of $299. Sony can save a ton of money for no need to develop/market/supply mid-end BD players in 5-10 years.

Besides, the cost of some PS3 components is coming down rapidly, but on the other hand, Wii components is not as fast.



It (PS3's market share) might hit 30%, but definently not more. ~ Neo

Flaming (Calling another user (any user) a fanboy is flaming.) ~ Machina-AX

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leo-j said:
lol no the 80gb will never drop to $299.

Im talking about the 40gb.

Also, soriku Im usually correct about my predictions, I will be correct again when ur the one that gets banned.

 No you're not, you said PS3 won't drop below 120K this year any week, its already near that, and its numbers are falling

 

Also the idea that $299 PS3 will stop the Wii is stupid, Wii will continue selling because it appeals to a different group who want wiimote controls, and games like Wii fit and Wii sports



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

brute said:
seba_link1 said:

leo-j

Are you serious? the only way Wii wont reach 20 mil next week is that it sells less than 60k WW.

You are a terrible fanboy and because of that your ass should be kicked so hard. 


 

or if the numbers go lower when ioi adjusts them

 They won't go lower for Wii, at least not much, everyone forgets Canada



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

This is all wrong.
Wii will continue to sell because it is the best console in the world. End.



Wii Fit is rapidly beating PS3...

Playing now: Apollo Justice, Majora's Mask

Going to play: Little King Story

"As long as there is a Triforce, there will be a Zelda  As long as there is a prosperous kingdom, there will be an evil that wants destroy it And as long as there is an oppressive force running Hyrule, there will be a boy, in a green tunic, with a silver shield, and a magic blade, to stand against them."-The Legend of Zelda
Soriku said:
If the PS3 gets a price drop to $300, It'll be easier for me to buy it.

Considering it's the 80 GB we're talking about. Not the 40 GB.

But he talks nonsense.

It may be 80GB, but no BC, sorry.  Sony is dropping BC around the world.  NA is the next.

In one year, 80GB or 120GB HD may be cheaper than 40GB. 



It (PS3's market share) might hit 30%, but definently not more. ~ Neo

Flaming (Calling another user (any user) a fanboy is flaming.) ~ Machina-AX

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stranne said:
Wii won't pass 20M next week? Are you serious? Bring out your calculator.

no need for a calculator, just a regular sized human brain. but leo-j doesn't seem to have one of those.



Only way Nintendo won't hit 20 million next week is if every region experiences a massive shortage



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

libellule said:
Patcher is not a complete asshole
I think the same than him, but with some "moderation"

Wii "may" begin to fail at Xmas 2008 ...
(killed by the PS360 cheaper price)

we will see

yet again, the price of ps360 won't affect wii sales to any great degree

 the retirement homes, rehab centers, ex-gamers with no time for 'hardcore games', our parents, our grandparents, our aunts/uncles, gyms, housewives, most casual gamers, etc etc etc will not even look at ps360 at ANY price

ps360 is only a competitor to the wii with gamers (the people who buy consoles already)...those are not a competitor for the non-gamers (the millions of people who are buying a wii as their first console, or at least first console in over 10 years)



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp
libellule said:
Patcher is not a complete asshole
I think the same than him, but with some "moderation"

Wii "may" begin to fail at Xmas 2008 ...
(killed by the PS360 cheaper price)

we will see

 Unlikely, Granny doesn't care about headshotting people online



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

leo-j said:
Well it outsold the 360 so I was correct for half of my prediction.

Also, I was correct of undertracking ps3, and overtracking wii.

etc.. more predictions These two Im going to be correct. PS3 will stay above 120k

and wii wont hit 20 million next week.

 I'm afraid I'm going to have to agree with him. The Wii won't hit 20 million next week.

On the same note, the PS3 won't hit 9.23 next week.

While we're at it, Apple will release a console in 2 weeks which will sell 30 million first two weeks and dominate everything,  meaning everything we have fought about the last year will be pointless. Sad, I know.

Avinash, you need to meet my granny. She kills me all the time in MoH:H2.