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Forums - Sales Discussion - 3DS vs PSV 2012 Edition: 3DS 30m or PSV 5m? (Oct 6th: Vita > 3m!)

 

Which milestone will occur first: 3DS 30m or PSV 5m?

Both before Jan 5th, but 3DS first 77 16.67%
 
Both before Jan 5th, but PSV first 35 7.58%
 
3DS before Jan 5th, PSV after 179 38.74%
 
PSV before Jan 5th, 3DS after 59 12.77%
 
Both after Jan 5th, but 3DS first 83 17.97%
 
Both after Jan 5th, but PSV first 29 6.28%
 
Total:462
carlos3189 on 23 August 2012

Interesting... I think 3DS will do it, Idk about Vita...



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fillet on 23 August 2012
Jumpin said:
3DS should have 36-37 million by January 5th.

No idea about Vita, I don't even see it in stores anymore.





VicViper on 23 August 2012
Jumpin said:
3DS should have 36-37 million by January 5th.

No idea about Vita, I don't even see it in stores anymore.


That's... really impossible, you know?. It'll be 30 at most.

Nintendo expects it to be 31.2 in march 2013



Jaywood2010 on 23 August 2012
Conegamer said:
JayWood2010 said:
This is sad. We are predicting 3DS to sell 10.8 Million before the PSV a brand new product can sell 2.8 million. Sadly it's true that they may happen. What happened to all the die hard sony fans saying how the Vita was going to be way better then the 3DS. Once again Sony is just showing that they can't make handheld games where Nintendo makes great handheld games. Having the best hardware isn't going to do much in the the handheld market because games like Golden Abyss, CoD, and Assassin's Creed can all be replicated on consoles but better. Nintendo on the other hand has games like Mario, Pokemon, Animal Crossing, Professor Layton, etc that all fit great on handhelds.

Now let's look at the what each game will probably sell like.

Vita has games coming like Playstation allstars, Cod, Assassin's Creed, and Little Big Planet. I for one know that I'm not buying a Vita for any of those games as I can already get them on Ps360. The only one that in my opinion fits on a handheld is Little Big Planet. Oh and maybe Tearaway.

Now for the 3DS. Holiday lineup would be Luigi's Mansion, Animal Crossing, Professor Layton, Monster Hunters 4, Pokemon B/W 2, and it just released New Super Mario Bros 2. It also has a good library already and as we all know these games will all have strong legs like Mario Kart 7. Mario 3D Land, Kid Icarus, Kingdom Heart: Dream Drop Distance, Nintendogs + Cats, Zelda: Oracle of Time. When you look at all these games you can see why parents will buy the 3DS during the holidays.

Do not think I hate the Vita, but I do personally find it funny how there was so much trash talked rior of the Vita's release and now we are predicting the 3DS to sell 30 million before the vita can even reach 5.

Very nice, and reasonable, response. It is a very sad situation, and this thread merely highlights the issue the Vita faces.

However, as with most here, the Vita has only shipped 2.2mil, therefore, sold systems are likely closer to 2mil. If you say that, you could predict that the Vita will be selling as low as 20-25k at some point this year. And if you look at the holiday sales for Japan during the LAUNCH of the PSV, you'd have to say it'd be lucky to hit current 3DS sales (I'd expect 300k a week for Vita, max, WW). So...around 4.4mil for Vita, and 29.4mil for 3DS, come year's end.

Obviously the 3DS will hit its target in the thread first.






       

Jaywood2010 on 23 August 2012

For whatever reason it didnt let me reply so yeah.

I honestly dont understand why people want to analyze things based on them being a fan of a company. Based on the past it's very possible for the 3DS looking at how the DS and 3DS are very similar in customer's eyes. The PSP on the other hand has done poorly outside of Japan for years now and Sony's flagship title Monster Hunters is now on the 3DS. With that happening the Vita just looks to be spiraling downward. I do believe the Vita will sell 5 million though, but if it can't then it needs to die because that's pathetic. The 3DS on the other hand has proven that there is a market for handheld consoles. It has proven analysts wrong about them saying that mobile games are taking over, but Nintendo shows why Mario is a world-wide known name. The Vita on the other hand is just producing Home Consoles Duplicate ports. At this point it looks like Nintendo has dominated the handheld market for so long that if Sony's Vita dies then there is no need in trying to make another handheld to compete with nintendo. Microsoft I think gets this as they let companies like Rare to make games for Nintendo Handhelds. This way Microsoft still makes money for publishing a game on a popular console instead of producing there own and losing tons of money like Sony. I honestly feel that sony need's to take this approach. i know a lot of people probably hate my opinion right now but i think it would be better for sony financially if they just published games for the 3DS




       

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DieAppleDie on 23 August 2012

Both after
vita first



Sam3o on 23 August 2012
VicViper said:
Jumpin said:
3DS should have 36-37 million by January 5th.

No idea about Vita, I don't even see it in stores anymore.


That's... really impossible, you know?. It'll be 30 at most.

Nintendo expects it to be 31.2 in march 2013

Wait! Nintendo lowered their projections for the March 2013 fiscal year? I remember them projecting 18 million units shipped by the end of the fiscal year, which would put them at 34m - 35m by the end of March.



kopstudent89 on 23 August 2012

PSV before, 3DS after. I can see the PSV doing better in the holidays



Galaki on 23 August 2012

Nintendo always dominate the holidays. Even a Sony fanboy like me would agree with that.



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VicViper on 23 August 2012
Sam3o said:
VicViper said:
Jumpin said:
3DS should have 36-37 million by January 5th.

No idea about Vita, I don't even see it in stores anymore.


That's... really impossible, you know?. It'll be 30 at most.

Nintendo expects it to be 31.2 in march 2013

Wait! Nintendo lowered their projections for the March 2013 fiscal year? I remember them projecting 18 million units shipped by the end of the fiscal year, which would put them at 34m - 35m by the end of March.


Derp, that's correct. My mistake. I added only fiscal year 2011/2012 - but 3DS was released before that.

So it's 3.61 (FY 2010-2011) + 13.53 (fiscal year 2011/2012) + 18.5 (forecast for 2012/2013) = 35.64 million (expected scenario)

Yeah, then I think 3DS will reach 30 first even faster - in shipments, not VG Chartz numbers