Looks like Dragon Quest X is starting to climb up the preorder charts in Japan now (at least for Wii, no idea on Wii U just yet).

Anyone want to be brave and call how well the game will do week one? The semi-recent Dragon Quest Collection (old DQ games on a disc essentially) sold around 400,000 on Wii in Japan off the top of my head. Even with a two platform format and a slightly different style of play DQX should thus do fairly enormous numbers in Japan.

I'm thinking a million total.

It looks like it has 15,000 preorders, about four months out from release. DQ Collection had 15,000 preorders six week or so out from release. A million actually fits those figures pretty well, could do 600,000 week one (DQ Collection did over 250k week one, DQX is trending higher), 220,000 week two and then rapidly fall off to 80,000 / 35,000 etc. Would imagine the Wii U version would then launch lower but end up at 80-90% of the Wii figures over a longer period of time. Hard to say just yet though.

500-600k first week I estimate, and 1-1.5m lifetime.

I agree with the poll results

400k week 1, 750k total

isn't this an MMORPG? if so, sales could be lower.

I wsnt aware a WiiU version was announced ? Thought it was Wii only...

A Wii U version is confirmed a while back.

http://wii.ign.com/articles/119/1192545p1.html

Because it is an MMO the sales will probably far below DQ-Standards, look at the Final Fantasy-MMOs.

I think it will underperform thanks to SE's stupid decision to turn it into an MMO. They should've made a Dragon Quest Online spin off instead.

My guess is 750k.