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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predicition: PS3 will outsell Wii by the end of this console generation

ramses01 said:
The problem with your thesis is that blu-ray is out-dated and irrelevant technology not a driver of sales.

last i read end of last year was increasing blu-ray player and blu-ray sales at least in europe. so with increasing sales of that format, how can it be out-dated?



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pezus said:
ramses01 said:
of course DVD is outdated, what a silly question.

Being outdated however is irrelevant. Wii was outdated the day it launched, but did it fail to sell?

You're right, Blu-Ray's problems don't lie in the fact that it is or isn't outdated but more in the fact that the general public sees Blu-Rays as a more expensive DVD with little to no advantages over DVDs.



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pezus said:
TruckOSaurus said:
pezus said:
ramses01 said:
of course DVD is outdated, what a silly question.

Being outdated however is irrelevant. Wii was outdated the day it launched, but did it fail to sell?

You're right, Blu-Ray's problems don't lie in the fact that it is or isn't outdated but more in the fact that the general public sees Blu-Rays as a more expensive DVD with little to no advantages over DVDs.

We'll see how it goes when Blu-Ray becomes the same price. The adoption is increasing steadily.

They're sure taking their sweet time for that but I agree that at the same price people should ditch DVDs for Blu-Ray but that certainly doesn't mean PS3's sales will shoot up once that happens.



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pezus said:
ramses01 said:
of course DVD is outdated, what a silly question.

Being outdated however is irrelevant. Wii was outdated the day it launched, but did it fail to sell?


Except the Wii wasn't outdated.  It didn't have the best technical specs.  Than again neither does MOST streaming which tends to stream at levels lower then Blu-Ray HD.

However what it did have was more important.  The right delivery method.

 

A good example is 8-tracks or whatever the heck it was that replaced records back in the day.  Record quality arguably not matched until CDs.

 

Delivery method or execution method is far more important then tech specs when it comes to judging how in date something is.

 

 



pezus said:
TruckOSaurus said:
pezus said:
ramses01 said:
of course DVD is outdated, what a silly question.

Being outdated however is irrelevant. Wii was outdated the day it launched, but did it fail to sell?

You're right, Blu-Ray's problems don't lie in the fact that it is or isn't outdated but more in the fact that the general public sees Blu-Rays as a more expensive DVD with little to no advantages over DVDs.

We'll see how it goes when Blu-Ray becomes the same price. The adoption is increasing steadily.

Well it sorta has too eventually doesn't it?  The question is, will it catch up in time before the western world switches over to digital/streaming (well even more so then it already does.)

A question that may go unanswered, since streaming numbers really aren't tracked with Blu-ray/DVD sales.  For all we know (though i doubt it currently) blu-ray could actually be slowly losing marketshare that simply goes unreported because it's framed only in disc sales.

 



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leo-j said:
most of my predictions have come true though....

What predictions did you make?

I highly doubt the PS3 will outsell the Wii by the end of the generation, it just might when it stops selling completely though.



Even if Wii stops selling completely and if (a big IF) Sony magically manages to sell 15 million units per year (higher than in it's peak year 2011, mind you), the gap is still 2 million units big. And that's the best-case scenario for Sony.

This generation is over, people are waiting for the next consoles. They won't be buying 15 million next year, yearly sales will only go down by now.



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idk i have PS3 selling 100M before its off the market since 2/10, wii looks like will end out not to far from 100M so its possible for the PS3 to pass it at some point but i dont think it will happen in the next 2yrs