I am serious.
There are rumors about the Xbox 720 popping up left and right and it is an educated guess that the Xbox 3 will launch at the end of this year or somewhere in 2013.
The Xbox 360 does not need a pricecut to drive sales - the sales have been fantastic in the holiday season and another 500 million USD profit in 3 months is outstanding. My point is that there are Xbox 360 SKUs with a price tag I would expect the next generation to have. I know it is a special edition console, but the Star Wars Kinect console costs $450! For comparison: The Xbox 360 launch price for the core system was $299 and $399 for the premium system!
The Kinect holiday bundle (mainstrem, not limited) was sold for $399!
How do you want to launch a new system with such prices for the current generation? If MS really plans to launch a new generation of the Xbox console anytime soon, they should cut the price by at least $100 in September 2012 for a 2013 release of the Xbox 3. They are reporting huge profits, so they can easily afford a price cut.
Why not sell the console with a $99 entry price and a Kinect Sensor for $99 as well? This would increase their market position and make people think about upgrading to a Xbox 3 later. Heck, the console will almost be in its 8th by then.
MS just needs the $300+ price range for their new hardware otherwise they would compete in the same market with their own product. I totally expect them to announce a major price cut in 2012. Make it in September just before Halo 4 launches and you are fine.
Imagine not having GamePass on your console...