2012 Sales Predictions

sergiodaly

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sergiodaly on 08 January 2012

wii 6.5M
PS3 14M
X360 13.5M

handhelds don't interests me, and i don't know anything about their sales pattern

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Jay520

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Jay520 on 09 January 2012

Jay520 said:
Hardware

- PS3: 15.4m
- Vita: 6.4m
- PS2: 1.6m
- PSP: 1.2m

- 3DS: 19.8m
- Wii: 8.5m
- DS: 6.1m
- WiiU: 4.9m

- 360: 15.1m

Software: (by the end of the year)

- Starhawk will sell 2.5m
- GTA V will outsell CoD9 on PS360
- The Last Guardian won't be released worldwide
- Mass Effect 3 will sell 5.0m on PS360
- Uncharted 3 will sell 2.0m

I'd like to change my Wii U prediction from 4.9m to 3.2m.

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Mummelmann on 09 January 2012

Seece said:

Mummelmann said:
Why would PS360 peak in 2012? The year before their relief arrives? Or perhaps even the same year? That makes no sense to me. Its all downhill from here, price cuts be damned. This is only my belief, of course, but I really see no logical reason why neither the PS3 nor the 360 would be up yoy for 2012 and not down by a significant amount. Look at how crippled the Wii is right now, it is simply farther ahead in it's lifecycle on the same market and one can assume that the competition will feel the burn as well, and quite soon.

Price cuts, don't underestimate them. $199 PS3 and $199 Kinect Bundle will do very well next christmas, don't think we can compared the Wii to the HD consoles, Wii peaked years ago, 3 years behind 360's peak in alligned launches.

I know what price cuts can do but we're so far into the generation and a stellar holiday season will still have trouble negating a poor ten months before that. Like the PS360 gap for 2011, the PS3 had a comfortable lead but the 360 had a crazy holiday season, crushing the PS3 weekly and still managed to finish behind in total sales for the calendar year.

Time will show I guess, I don't think either of our lives will end either way...

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ethomaz on 09 January 2012

I'm ready.

Hardware...

PS3: 15.1m *yeah... up YoY
360: 13.8m *flat
Wii: 9.8m *down
PSP: 5.1m *down
DS: 7.2m *down
3DS: 17m
Vita: 13.4m
WiiU: 2.6m
PS2: 3.8m

Software...

GT5: 1.8m *flat

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Turkish on 09 January 2012

ethomaz said:
I'm ready.

Hardware...

PS3: 15.1m *yeah... up YoY
360: 13.8m *flat
Wii: 9.8m *down
PSP: 5.1m *down
DS: 7.2m *down
3DS: 17m
Vita: 13.4m
WiiU: 2.6m
PS2: 3.8m

Software...

GT5: 1.8m *flat

Why only 1.8m for GT5? There is XL edition coming out, it will sell tons here in Europe! :)

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Seece on 09 January 2012

6 Spots left

ethomaz

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ethomaz on 09 January 2012

Turkish said:

ethomaz said:
I'm ready.

Hardware...

PS3: 15.1m *yeah... up YoY
360: 13.8m *flat
Wii: 9.8m *down
PSP: 5.1m *down
DS: 7.2m *down
3DS: 17m
Vita: 13.4m
WiiU: 2.6m
PS2: 3.8m

Software...

GT5: 1.8m *flat

Why only 1.8m for GT5? There is XL edition coming out, it will sell tons here in Europe! :)

GT5 sold 1.9 million in 2011... so I expect a drop for 2012 but the new XL edition put GT5 flat... 1.8-2.0 million is my bet for 2012... great legs/sales for the second year.

There is another point to look too... if GT5 Platinum Edition is sold out in Europe I guess Sony will release a Spec II Edition in the middle of 2012... if that happen the sale could be better in 2012 than 2011.

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Shinobi-san on 09 January 2012

Xbox 360 - 13 mil

PS3 - 13.5 mil

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TruckOSaurus on 09 January 2012

Okay I'm ready to predict:

Wii 8m
Xbox 360 12.8m
PS3 13.5m
WiiU 3.5m

Handhelds: 3DS > Vita. That's all the predicting I'll be doing on that front.

Others:

- FFvXIII won't come out this year.
- Diablo III will eat my soul and all my free time.

Signature goes here!

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