thx1139 said:
ethomaz said:
thx1139 said:
ethomaz said: Shipment: September / Q2 2012 VGC sales: March / Q4 2013 Using the Sony's financial year (April to March). |
Assuming that 360 is going to outsell the PS3 by at least 1 million this quarter. Lets just say that the PS3 will then ship 1 million less this quarter than the 360. That puts the PS3 3 million behind shipment wise. You expect that the PS3 will out ship the 360 by 3 million between Jan 1 and June 30?
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The won't ship 1 million more than PS3 this quarter... I expect the PS3 to tie or be over 360 shipment after 30 September 2012 (Q2 2012).
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OK as for saying what quarter you shouldnt use Fiscal Quarter since different companies Fiscal Quarters are different. I assumed you meant calendar quarter.
OK now why would Sony ship more this quarter when it looks pretty clear that the 360 will outsell to consumers the PS3 by at least 1 million worldwide this quarter? What retailers are simply going to say sure ship us more we will keep them in storage for you?
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VGC sales from 2nd Oct 2011 to 12th Nov 2011.
360: 1,637,215
PS3: 1,799,564
The next three weeks combined:
360: 2,358,564
PS3: 1,677,057
Total sold in this quarter:
360: 3,995,779
PS3: 3,476,621
Diff: 519,158 (360 favor)
The PS3 is at least 150k undertracked in US (NPD data).
Diff: 369,158
So I can't see that 1 million difference in sales... the difference in PS3 and 360 last week was under 100k (without adjustments yet).
360 won't outsell PS3 by 1 million this quarter... I can't even see by 500k =).
The shipment difference will be lower than VGC sales difference... eg. 360 6.3 million / PS3 6.1 million (and I would not be surprised if Sony shipped more than Microsoft this quarter).