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SSBB or GTA4

Forums - Sales Discussion - SSBB or GTA4

Where is John Lucas?? Get him here, have him make the prediction.

I can't bet, because my post count is lesser than 100. SSBB will win GTA4 in 3months, 6months, 12months and lifetime WW. GTA4 has no chance whether combined or not.

Prediction: SSBB will have lifetime 20million and above. And will be the best selling Mario game in Wii. (N64 was Mario64, GC was Mario Kart, Wii will be SSBB)



WW Market share prediction on 31st March 08 (I make this prediction on 13 Dec 07):

Wii - 50%

X360 - 30%

PS3 - 20%

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@Etecon: I would bet that stuff, but I don't have a credit card, so I wouldn't be able to pay up if I lost. Any other ideas?

@Clouette: I wouldn't call Smash a 'Mario' game any more than I would call it a Pokemon game or a Fire Emblem game. I agree with you on the sales, though.



Legend11 said:
GTAIV by a lot. I can't believe some people honestly think SSBB will sell more, LOL.


The last time you said this, I suggested a bet for lifetime sales and you backed out. Also, if you would have that much faith in GTAIV, you would have been willing to bet SSBB vs. GTAIV 360 version only. But you even rejected SSBB vs. both versions.

You were also laughing that people were saying that Super Mario Galaxy would manage to have higher lifetime sales than Halo 3. You were calling Galaxy a flop after first week sales, you created at least two troll topics to bash Galaxy. But how do you think now about the idea that Galaxy will beat Halo 3? Galaxy is showing enormous legs, while Halo 3 is mostly living off of its big opening week. Galaxy will eventually overtake Halo 3.

GTAIV vs. Brawl will be similar. GTAIV will have bigger first week sales, but SSBB will have the much better legs, eventually overtaking the combined sales of both GTAIV versions. Why am I so sure about this? Because the videogames market is currently making a transition and will soon become synonymous with Nintendo again. Nintendo's franchises will reclaim enormous popularity and sell ridiculous amounts of copies. And what's SSBB? A compilation of Nintendo's biggest franchises, a game with characters recognized by pretty much everyone. This game is going to sell for a very long time.

The bet: SSBB lifetime sales will be higher than the lifetime sales of GTAIV for 360 and PS3 combined. The loser will be banned for a month and will have to keep the outcome of this bet in his signature forever.

After at most two years of both games being on the market it should be possible to draw a clear conclusion which of the games is going to end up with higher lifetime sales. So once it can be said for certain which game is going to sell more in the end, the bet comes due. 



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

SSBB will be more fun that gta 4



N64 is the ONLY console of the fifth generation!

bet with *no one yet* that the combined first week of Monster Hunter 3 in america and europe will be 600k or more! winner changes looser sig and avatar for two months!

@Rol, when does a lifetime sales bet come due? You're not planning on posting here well into your retirement years are you?

I have to give this one to GTAIV but not by the margins that GTAIII vs SSBM would indicate. First issue for GTAIV to deal with will be the typical decline in sales of sequels (FF7 sold almost 10 million, FF8 under 8 for example although admittedly GTA hass a bit more checkered up and down sequence). The second issue it will have to deal with is not as many gamers to buy the game. The 360 and PS3 won't equal the PS2's sales combined much less the sales of the PS2 and Xbox. Thirdly, like Halo 3, it will find that it doesn't have a lock on the genre nor will it feel so fresh and new like its predecessor did.

Of course one difficulty with comparing GTA3 is that there were 3 games on 2 seperate consoles for 5 editions total. Their total sales were 45 million or 9 million per edition. My own expectations are for GTA4 to do about 12-14 million combined. SSBB should do much better than SSBM but I don't think it'll doing staggeringly better, more like 10-12 million. It should be enough to beat GTA4 on the 360 alone but I think SSBB will be beaten by a small-decent margin on both systems combined.



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albionus said:
@Rol, when does a lifetime sales bet come due? You're not planning on posting here well into your retirement years are you?


That's a good point you have there.

After at most two years of both games being on the market it should be possible to draw a clear conclusion which of the games is going to end up with higher lifetime sales. So once it can be said for certain which game is going to sell more in the end, the bet comes due.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

in the early run GTA4 will win but in the end SSBB will end with higher sales



san andreas sold almost 20 million copies with ps2 and xbox sales combined.
what makes you guys so sure that SSBB will sell three times as much as melee did? (assuming that GTA4 can match san andreas sales)



 

At the beginning, GTA 4 (together, not singularly) will outsell SSBB, in the end (lets say 2 years) it'll be a clear lifetime lead for brawl

 

--OkeyDokey-- said:
san andreas sold almost 20 million copies with ps2 and xbox sales combined.
what makes you guys so sure that SSBB will sell three times as much as melee did? (assuming that GTA4 can match san andreas sales)

x360 and PS3 are at ~25mil together atm, lets be optimistic and say it'll be at 30mil by the time GTA4 launches..  What was the LTD of PS2+Xbox when San Andreas launched?

 



--OkeyDokey-- said:
san andreas sold almost 20 million copies with ps2 and xbox sales combined.
what makes you guys so sure that SSBB will sell three times as much as melee did? (assuming that GTA4 can match san andreas sales)

Nintendomination.


Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club