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Forums - Sales Discussion - What will be the 15 best selling games of 2011

 

While 2011 seems like it will be a weak year for the industry in general, it will be huge for at least some games. Post your predictions on what you think the 15 best selling games will be and what they will sell by the end of the year.

If enough people wish to participate I'll talley up the results so we can see who was most accurate at predicting the games and their sales. Winner gets a virtual pat on the back and the satisfaction of knowing they are the best or should I say luckiest predictors. For the estimates to be fair I will only count the estimates made by November 7th.

15 games is kind of a lot but if I made it only 10, it would have been just call of duty and bundled games. 15 makes it more interesting as the bottom 5 are really anyone's guess. Sorry if anyone else made a thread about this earlier this year, but I couldn't find any, and its more reasonable to make predictions now so there is actually some data that can be used rather then random game guessing, but if you want you are more then welcome to randomly guess!!! Inspired by the other prediction threads that have been made lately.

Here are some helpful hints in helping you make a prediction.

 

This Year's current rankings

http://www.vgchartz.com/yearly.php?date=2010®=World&date=2011&console=&maker=

 


Last Years Top 15

1
Wii Sports (Wii)
Nintendo, Sports
215 15,465,304 73,081,557
2
Wii Sports Resort (Wii)
Nintendo, Sports
80 11,573,663 24,067,830
3
New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Wii)
Nintendo, Platform
59 10,926,425 20,888,865
4
Call of Duty: Black Ops (X360)
Activision, FPS
8 10,668,367 10,668,367
5
Wii Fit Plus (Wii)
Nintendo, Sports
66 8,869,596 17,482,382
6
Call of Duty: Black Ops (PS3)
Activision, FPS
8 8,534,084 8,534,084
7
Halo: Reach (X360)
Microsoft, FPS
16 7,553,231 7,553,231
8
Kinect Adventures! (X360)
Microsoft, Other
9 7,290,821 7,290,821
9
Pokémon Heart Gold / Soul Silver Version (DS)
Nintendo, RPG
69 6,386,000 9,942,510
10
Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Wii)
Nintendo, Platform
32 5,978,787 5,978,787
11
Gran Turismo 5 (PS3)
Sony Computer Entertainment, Racer
6 5,286,485 5,286,485
12
Mario Kart Wii (Wii)
Nintendo, Racer
143 5,164,081 25,876,482
13
Pokémon Black / White Version (DS)
Nintendo, RPG
16 5,050,908 5,050,908
14
Just Dance 2 (Wii)
Ubisoft, Other
12 4,869,633 4,869,633
15
Wii Party (Wii)
Nintendo, Other
26 4,719,147 4,719,147

Copy Paste graph for your predictions

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How winner will be decided if enough people participate

 Correctly ranked game gets you 3 points.

Incorrectly ranked game that does still appear in the top 15 list gets you 1 point.

 

Game must appear in top 15 for you to get points for your sales prediction.

100% Accurate sales prediction gets you 100,000 points.

Accurate sales prediction + or - 100k gets you 3 points.  

Accurate sales prediction + or - 300k gets you 1 point.

 

Whoever has the most points wins.



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Here are my predictions

1  Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 3(360) 11,567,456 
2

 Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 3(PS3)

 9,754,623
3  Kinect Adventures  8,870,573
5  Wii Sports Resort  7,543,355
6  Mario Kart Wii  7,012,149
7  Wii Sports  6,503,324
8  New Super Mario Bros Wii  5,612,546
9  Gears of War 3  5,543,128
10  Battlefield 3(360)  4,543,273
11  Fifa 2011(PS3)  4,124,543
12  Just Dance 3  4,069,547
13  Legend of Zelda Skyward Sword  3,956,333
14  Wii Fit Plus  3,934,265
15  Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim(360)  3,765,129