Mr Khan said:
Ail said:
Generally speaking I believe the biggest issue in the US isn't the government debt but the debt held by the households. Due to the high level of debt (that was increased by the latest crisis) that many households have, any stimulus that the government could do isn't likely to help the economy much ( which is the reason for the weak effect of the latest stimulus). The reason is that many households are struggling with debt or trying to reduce it and as a result any extra money they will get through temporary stimulus or tax cuts will go toward that debt and sadly paying debt hardly create jobs.. That is one of the big issues with the US economy in my view. Easy access to credit boost sales of product in the short term but actually reduce them in the long term as people have to pay that debt afterward and the finance industry just doesn't create that many jobs based on the debt it holds.... It's better for the long term to haev the majority of people's income go toward the purchase of manufactured good than toward paying interests on debt ( especially credit card debt where the interests are punishing and really reduce your buying power..)
Carrying a credit card balance is like the worse thing you can do for the economy.....
Before the economy starts kicking and screaming again, that debt needs to be adressed ( it was ignored for decades as the boost in the real estate market allowed people to keep piling on more debt with little effect as the price of houses was increasing too...)
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I have heard that household debt is actually down since the crisis has started, somehow...
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It is down 1 trillion ( down to 11.5 trillions from 12.5 trillions).
There's several reasons for this :
1- Foreclosure , the huge majority on the household debt is in mortgage, as people go in foreclosure their mortgage gets wiped out...
2- No more refinancing to get money out of your house ( which increases debt).
3- Stricter borrowing policies, it is actually very hard these days for people to get mortage approved or get loans if they have less than pristine credit score. As the majority of people keep paying their existing debt, and you reduce the capacity for people to take on new debt, overall debt goes down..
3- Some slight reduction in credit card debt ( like I said some americans took advantage of the latest stimulus to reduce their debt and are still doing this right now which is one reason for the weak economy, even if for the long term it is a good thing).
The reduction in credit card debt is good for the future.
The dificulty to get mortgage not so much because people still have to pay to have a roof over their head one way or another so that is not helping the economy..