I think Vita will put up a good fight in the first year, trading blows with 3DS depending on game releases. But once Pokemon comes out, I think 3DS will pull ahead.

Sony will be losing money with every Vita sold WW so they wouldn't be able to drop the price, I honestly don't know how long Sony can continue to sell consoles at a loss, since it's a handheld it probably won't sell as many games as PS3 to make up the difference. Originally they said they wanted to sell Vita at a profit, but clearly the decision to drop the price screams to me "we are scared and can't compete with 3DS at a profitable price point".

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Only Mario Kart sold over 20 millions.

NSMB sold over 25 million and is the best selling game on the DS.

Apparently, you want to compare a 2D Mario sales to a 3d's one, what is as hilarious as it can get.

Well, I believe he's the one who made that comparison, not me.

you got a source on they are selling at a loss? it's the first time I've read that.

Your idea of whats hilarious disturbs me :P

Your nitpicking. I meant a dedicated mario game on the ds VS one thats coming out for the 3ds. 3d or 2d gameplay never occured to me.  Fact is its mario and its a new adventure. 

the overall point still stands.........mario kart and dedicated mario titles sell ridiculously and move a ton of hardware

Even if the Vita was launching with more games and even lower price- this is still Nintendo's market.

They have always owned the handheld market.. so the safe bet is to go with Nintendo. Logic and facts don't weigh into it, Nintendo owns the handheld market.

-until they screw up worse than ever before and leave the door open.

Is that time now with the impending release of the Vita?

only time will tell.

3DS will win, but with a much smaller gap than the DS to PSP.