@misterd

The latest polling data indicates you might be correct about Edwards. His surge in Iowa is nearly identical to the late boost he and Kerry received just before the caucuses. You probably remember that, in 2004, Dean and Gephardt were expected to win and shocked nearly everyone by coming in 3rd and 4th. Edwards really speaks to the Democratic base (well, he does now.. his record as a senator is somewhat different)

It looks like I'm going to be wrong and Edwards will win in Iowa. He pretty much has to because he doesn't have the organization to run beyond Iowa without the momentum. If he does indeed win, he'll probably get South Carolina like he did in '04.

bump

Not in Iowa but I support Ron Paul.

Clinton for the Dems

I support John Edwards. But like with Bradley in 2000 and Dean in 2004, I expect to be voting for someone else in November.

I hope Edwards can pull off the upset. I know that talk is cheap for politicians, but he is the only one that seems to understand what is going on around him.

I predict that whoever wins, we are still screwed.

My vote will goto Obama. I really believe if we have a religious right nut job aka huckabee its all over for us.

 The only question is, do we get to take it in the ass, or will they be allowed to carve a new hole in the location of their choice.

It is pretty likely that Huckabee will win Iowa and he night get the republican nomination. If he does, he would be easy to defeat in the general election and is unlikely to gain much support outside of rural areas. I mean Clinton, Obama or even Edwards would soundly defeat this guy.

Ron Paul will beat rudy and beat thompson in Iowa, and it is very likely he will also beat mccain. My guess is Ron Paul will get 3rd with about 16 or 17 percent, and it will shock a lot of people. It will push him forward and will make him a viable candidate for future states...

Vilsack, a Clinton supporter, just downplayed the results, saying that Hillary "has already accomplished what she set out to do," which tells me that he knows she's not likely to finish to first and is trying to manage expectations. If she doesn't win NH, she's finished. If Edwards wins Iowa she could posibly bounce back, but not if Obama takes first.

Paul, again, is not a serious threat to any of the top five GOP candidates. He might not make double-digits, let alone third-place.

I see the Dems as Obama, Edwards, Clinton, all very close. For the GOP, Huckabee, Romney, McCain.

If Obama does win, it's very likely that he'll win NH and then dominate Feb. 5. If Huckabee wins, I'm not so sure that it'll carry through. His sort of conservatism doesn't play well in New England, plus the Wall Street Republicans and the GOP foreign-policy establishment hate his guts. If he can remain viable until Super Tuesday, the Southern-heavy slate will probably favor him, but I think Romney will win the nomination in the end.