Excellent post, Dodece.
Or check out my new webcomic: http://selfcentent.com/
it's basic math :
there is now a 7.3 mil difference.
In order for ps3 to overtake 360 it means it has to sell :
7.3/12 = 610K per month
or
610/4.1 = 148k per week ww
or
around 50k per week and per territory.
Japan : ps3 needs to take off to acheive 50k on a constant basis, highly improbable
Europe : highly probable
America : it needs to catch up + overtake massively : not very probable if you take into account that this is only average, so counting weeks from next week.
So all in all : highly improbable.
No. PS3 will outsell 360 by a decent margin. But, it will be 2009 at the earliest that PS3 passes 360 in WW numbers.
On a side not, possibly never in NA, but the difference in Others and Japan will more than make up for it.
| superchunk said: No. PS3 will outsell 360 by a decent margin. But, it will be 2009 at the earliest that PS3 passes 360 in WW numbers. On a side not, possibly never in NA, but the difference in Others and Japan will more than make up for it. |
Even 2009 is highly unlikely. To do that, the PS3 has to start outselling the 360 by 71,000 every week from here on out just to tie the 360 on January 1st, 2010.
Or check out my new webcomic: http://selfcentent.com/
Looks like my prediction may be pretty spot on. The PS3 may JUST be able to sell about 8.7 million by the end of the year. That's damn impressive for that console, considering many thought it wouldn't have broke the 7.5 million mark.
Good stuff. I'm happy with these numbers so far. So long as PS3 is here to stay, I'm happy. Who cares if Sony doesn't win this generation - they've already won twice in a row. They did a LOT for the industry - innovated like Nintendo did with the NES back in the day. If it wasn't for the PlayStation, I'm sure the Xbox would not exist.
End of Year predictions:
Wii | 17.5 million ----> 19.20 million as of new year
X360 | 16 million ----> 16.02 million as of new year
PS3 | 8.7 million -----> 8.86 million as of new year
DAMNN I really underestimated the freaking Wii - Sheaaat!
Lifetime Sales
Wii | 60-80 million
X360 | 50-60 million
PS3 | 100+ million (I believe the PS3 will still be around when other NEW consoles arrive...there won't be a PS4 for quite some time.)
| thx1138 said: 360 Arcade will be $199.99 when GTA4 releases 360 Premium will be $299.99 when GTA4 releases 360 Elite will be $379.99 when GTA4 releases PS3 will be at existing price when GTA4 releases MGS4 will not bump PS3 sales (MGS4 has been the #1 hype machine since E32005 when PS3 was shown for first time. People wanting MGS4 already have PS3. Moreso than any other title MGS4 has already sold its consoles). Killzone 2 will not sell PS3 consoles. PS3 will stick close maybe even lead some weeks before GTA4 releases then 360 will restablish its lead. GT5 only title that may sell PS3's in 2008. MS surely will unveil Forza 3 with great hype to counter GT5. |
KNIGHTMARE, YOU WORTHLESS MONGREL. PREPARE FOR YOUR SENTENCE OF ULTIMATE SMITING. FEEL MY INCREDIBLE WRATH OF INSURMOUNTABLE THUNDER.
Huh?
it all depends on the NA market
cuz ps3 will have overtaken the 360 by summer in europe
''Hadouken!''
JUSTICE HAS PREVAILED. REPENT FOR YOUR ULTIMATE SINNERY IN THE TWELVE HUNDREDTH LEVEL OF HELL, CRAVEN WRETCH.
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