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Forums - Sales Discussion - SALES PREDICTION: Dark Souls

 

SALES PREDICTION: Dark Souls

Will sell more than Demons Souls 53 76.81%
 
Will sell less than Demons Souls 16 23.19%
 
Total:69
Slimebeast on 13 February 2011
mantlepiecek said:

I think since its Namco, it will sell overall around 950 K combined ltd.

Demon's Souls had word of mouth, Dark Souls needs to have the same word of mouth, GOTY from at least one major site (like IGN or gamespot), 90 on metacritic to reach that kind of sales.

And the PS3 version will outsell the 360 version everywhere, even NA.

It will definitely NOT do 2 million. No way. Unless Namco advertise it or something.

I personally hope it does 1 million or more on the PS3 and at least 1/2 million on the 360, but its not happening.

A big game like bayonetta couldn't do that, I am not keeping my hopes up for this one.

The game will get around 90% on Metacritic. Have you seen and read about how great this game looks?

The game will have much much more pre-release hype than Demon's Souls (for natural reasons as DS was a sleeper hit).

Demon's Souls sold over 500K in USA alone. With a simultaneous launch in Europe and another 300K there it would already be 1.3 million lifetime and on path to sell 1.5 million lifetime!

Dark Souls will be a bigger game than Bayonotta and sell better.

I believe Dark Souls:

PS3: 1.5 million
X360: 800K
-------------
= 2.3 million



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Slimebeast on 13 February 2011
maverick40 said:
D-Joe said:

 

360 owners like ARPG too

i think 360 version will sell more than PS3 in NA

but for others,i think PS3 version wll sell lot more than 360,not just 50~100k

 

You are wrong, the majority of xbox gamers like fps. Look a t the sales difference between final fantasy 13 on both platforms. You mean to say an unknown rpg made by from software will sell more on the 360 in NA< even though final fantasy couldnt?

Dragon Age
X360: 2.0 million
PS3: 1.15 million

Oblivion:
X360: 3.5 million
PS3: 2.0 million

Fallout 3:
X360: 3.5 million
PS3: 2.5 million

Fallout NV:
X360: 2.4 million
PS3: 1.6 million

Sacred 2:
X360: 460K
PS3: 450K



maverick40 on 13 February 2011
Slimebeast said:
maverick40 said:
D-Joe said:

 

360 owners like ARPG too

i think 360 version will sell more than PS3 in NA

but for others,i think PS3 version wll sell lot more than 360,not just 50~100k

 

You are wrong, the majority of xbox gamers like fps. Look a t the sales difference between final fantasy 13 on both platforms. You mean to say an unknown rpg made by from software will sell more on the 360 in NA< even though final fantasy couldnt?

Dragon Age
X360: 2.0 million
PS3: 1.15 million

Oblivion:
X360: 3.5 million
PS3: 2.0 million

Fallout 3:
X360: 3.5 million
PS3: 2.5 million

Fallout NV:
X360: 2.4 million
PS3: 1.6 million

Sacred 2:
X360: 460K
PS3: 450K


Thats great and all buddy but the games you posted above are all games that were advertised heavily and are western rpg's with an easy learning curve. Dark souls on the other hand will not be advertised heavily, will have a very steep learning curve and will not have any checkpoints or regen health. Basically the exact opposite of the above games. 



D-Joe on 13 February 2011
maverick40 said:
D-Joe said:
Edgeoflife said:
enrageorange said:
Edgeoflife said:
snyperdud said:
Edgeoflife said:
snyperdud said:

It will sell more than Demon's Souls simply because it is multi-plat.

Prediction:

PS3:

NA: 100k - 150k LT: 500k- 750k

JA: 75k - 125k LT: 200k - 300k

Others: 50k - 100k LT: 250k - 350k

First week total: 225k - 375k

Lifetime: 950k - 1.4m

360:

NA: 50k - 100k LT: 400k - 600k

Others: 50k - 100k LT: 200k - 300k

First week total: 100k - 200k

Lifetime: 600k - 900k

 

Overall

First week Total: 325k- 575k

Lifetime Total: 1.55m - 2.3m

You really think ps3 and 360 sales are going to be that close?

I don't think they're that close really. I mean who really knows how Dark Souls will really sell on the 360, but, I think there is an untapped market there for a Demon's Souls-esque game.

I'm sure there is I just don't think it's very big, 360 owners are far more into shooters and random violence it seems from game sales on that platform, I think ps3 version will outsell 360 atleast 2 to 1 if the 360 version does well, I can see it completely flopping too, either way though the ps3 version will sell well.

Sigh have you even looked at the game sales on the ps3 platform. That is honestly the funniest comment I have seen on this site by someone who isn't trying to just troll. Define random violence. 9 out the the top 10 ps3 games fit that defenition if the top 10 360 games fit in that defenition. 1.2mil on ps3 900k on 360 is my prediction.

random violence as in prototype or the Hulk video game, senseless would have been a better word and probably the one I was thinking of but it didn't click 

 

360 owners like ARPG too

i think 360 version will sell more than PS3 in NA

but for others,i think PS3 version wll sell lot more than 360,not just 50~100k

 

You are wrong, the majority of xbox gamers like fps. Look a t the sales difference between final fantasy 13 on both platforms. You mean to say an unknown rpg made by from software will sell more on the 360 in NA< even though final fantasy couldnt?

 

FF13?okay

PS3:1.3 NA,1.34 others

360:990k NA,740k other

2.64m vs 1.74m,thats your 3:1?or you think Dark Souls can sell over 1m in Japan alone?

also,from software made Armored Core 4

360:260k,PS3:170k

maverick40 said:

It will sell more on ps3 without a doubt. 3:1 ratio id bet. xbox gamers will never have played a game like it. 

 

360 had lots of ARPG 

 



http://zh-tw.justin.tv/johndoe1899

Slimebeast on 13 February 2011
maverick40 said:
Slimebeast said:
maverick40 said:
D-Joe said:

 

360 owners like ARPG too

i think 360 version will sell more than PS3 in NA

but for others,i think PS3 version wll sell lot more than 360,not just 50~100k

 

You are wrong, the majority of xbox gamers like fps. Look a t the sales difference between final fantasy 13 on both platforms. You mean to say an unknown rpg made by from software will sell more on the 360 in NA< even though final fantasy couldnt?

Dragon Age
X360: 2.0 million
PS3: 1.15 million

Oblivion:
X360: 3.5 million
PS3: 2.0 million

Fallout 3:
X360: 3.5 million
PS3: 2.5 million

Fallout NV:
X360: 2.4 million
PS3: 1.6 million

Sacred 2:
X360: 460K
PS3: 450K


Thats great and all buddy but the games you posted above are all games that were advertised heavily and are western rpg's with an easy learning curve. Dark souls on the other hand will not be advertised heavily, will have a very steep learning curve and will not have any checkpoints or regen health. Basically the exact opposite of the above games. 

But those negatives will affect the PS3 version too. Or is the PS3 version less hardcore than the X360 version?

I'm not saying Dark Souls will be a huge top-seller, I'm just saying you need to get rid of the myth that RPGs don't sell on the X360 when fact is that RPGs have most of their success on the X360.



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Strife91 on 13 February 2011

I would say that 2 million units isn't too far fetched. Probably somewhere between 1,5-2 million units.



Boutros on 13 February 2011

The game will also be a lot more popular in Japan then Demon's Souls.

Demon's Souls received pretty bad scores from Famitsu and it definitely hindered its sales. It ended up having good legs because of good word of mouth.

Things will be different with Dark Souls as it will be more hyped and Famitsu takes hype into consideration when they rate a game.



VXIII on 13 February 2011
Boutros said:

The game will also be a lot more popular in Japan then Demon's Souls.

Demon's Souls received pretty bad scores from Famitsu and it definitely hindered its sales. It ended up having good legs because of good word of mouth.

Things will be different with Dark Souls as it will be more hyped and Famitsu takes hype into consideration when they rate a game.

How bad ??



Boutros on 13 February 2011
VXIII said:
Boutros said:

The game will also be a lot more popular in Japan then Demon's Souls.

Demon's Souls received pretty bad scores from Famitsu and it definitely hindered its sales. It ended up having good legs because of good word of mouth.

Things will be different with Dark Souls as it will be more hyped and Famitsu takes hype into consideration when they rate a game.

How bad ??

29 out of 40 (9/7/7/6)

For the game Demon's Souls is, those scores are pretty bad.



Slimebeast on 13 February 2011
Boutros said:
VXIII said:
Boutros said:

The game will also be a lot more popular in Japan then Demon's Souls.

Demon's Souls received pretty bad scores from Famitsu and it definitely hindered its sales. It ended up having good legs because of good word of mouth.

Things will be different with Dark Souls as it will be more hyped and Famitsu takes hype into consideration when they rate a game.

How bad ??

29 out of 40 (9/7/7/6)

For the game Demon's Souls is, those scores are pretty bad.

LOL

That kinda proves how serious Famitsu is.