Industrygamers
The Xbox 360, Wii and PS3 are all getting to the point where they could benefit from another price reduction, which would also give the games market a nice lift. But all three platform holders seem somewhat reluctant to make the move - so who will blink first?
When it comes to putting pricing pressure on the competition, Wedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter believes Microsoft is in the best position. "After maintaining console prices at historically high points throughout 2010, all three console manufacturers appear to us to be poised for price cuts in 2011. U.S. PS3 sales were flat in 2010, while Wii sales were down more than 25% and Xbox 360 sales up over 40%; we think that Microsoft is in the driver’s seat on price cuts, and expect the company to lower price on its console at the first sign of a year-over-year sales decline," he said.
The Xbox business just had a monster holiday, completing its best year in history, and contributing to a considerable profit boost at the Entertainment and Devices Division. So right now, Microsoft probably doesn't feel compelled to do anything to spark sales. That said, when Microsoft does make a move, they should have some nice options.
"Since the 'whisper quiet' black Xbox 360 was launched in June 2010 and Kinect launched in November, we think that sales will be up year-over-year at least until June, and we don’t anticipate a price cut for the 360 until then. Microsoft has the ability to bundle Kinect with any of its 360 models at a compelling price point (we remain convinced that the manufacturing cost of Kinect is under $60), and we expect to see a Kinect console bundle priced attractively by June 2011 if not sooner. In our view, a $299 price point for a Kinect/250Gb 360 bundle would force Sony to bundle Move with a PS3 at the same price point, and we think that Wii sales will suffer mightily with such competitive pricing," Pachter added.
He continued, "It is not clear to us that Nintendo will cut the price of the Wii until it is ready to launch its next generation console, but we expect much activity on the console front at this year’s E3. Overall, a $50 across the board console price cut should contribute 5% to software sales growth in 2011, and would give us great confidence in a software sales rebound."
IndustryGamers would guess that we'll see at least one or more platforms see a price cut by the time E3 rolls around this year.