Another note on production, from Kotaku.com:
"Manufacturing trade site EMSNow are reporting that Nintendo is looking at increasing the number of suppliers of Wii components, and have been in talks with Taiwanese companies Sunplus Technology and Wistron Corp. Lite-On, who manufacture power supplies for the PS2 and 360, are also reported as courting Nintendo, looking for a slice of that sweet Wii pie. While no specific mention is made concerning increased production of the console, unless they've lost manufacturers or I'm missing something, more manufacturers should mean more things manufactured. Right? RIGHT?"
Now don't get all excited. This was reported in July, 2007. But I find it interesting for 2 reasons. One is that talks in July = 50% more production in Sept or October.
Two is that the previous increase was in Apr/May. Two months later, they were already planning on increasing by 50%. Now granted, that was into the holidays, but I wouldn't rule out the increase to 2.0M as Zucas forecasts, but could see 2.2M as well. And in the latter half of the year, if stockpiles are in short supply, another boost to 2.5M a month?
Torturing the numbers. Hear them scream.