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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will the PS3 and 360 gap grow or close in 2011?

It will remain flat or inch slowly in the PS3's favour this year imo. Nothing earth shattering at any rate.



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BHR-3 said:

close like it always has been doing

shipment gap beggining each year since ps3 launch

2007 8.7M

2008 7.3M

2009 7.5M

2010 5.3M

last shipment gap 9/2010 2.8M :-O

and my favorite courtisy of mikebs sig  PS3 vs 360 sales

as you can see from the numbers above 360 never really widen it with all theyve done over the yrs like $300 then to $200 price tags, kenicts, 3 Halo games, and even this yr it being MS best year when Oct-Dec shimpments are revealed the gap wont be as wide as it was begining of 2010

all the ps3 really has done in this time was drop down to $300 in 09 and there 2010 numbers are actually higher than 09 unlike MSs 09 numbers compared to there 08 once when they had big price cuts, and had a few AAA blockbusters like Uncharted 2 and MGS4 with most of the rest coming out this or next year

 

now ya'll gonna say thats just shipments but at the end of the day, the day sony announces there shipments are higher than MS than thats the day when all on the internet will say "ps3 passed 360" not when VGC shows it

 

its early to tell what there current sold gap is b/c NPD Dec and latest shipment could/will change VGCs numbers

That's why I said "wait the financial results release".

Before that the predictions are nonsense.



The gap will grow to 10m (Kinect price cut of U$ 50).

2 years that xbox got the lest price cut, it only came down U$ 100 (U$ 50 U$ 50) , Ps3 got price cut of U$ 300 till now, xbox price cut will have more effect.

Kinect will have the big momentum in 2011.





Tease.

PS3's only hope, funny enough, is in being hacked.  It did wonders for PSP hardware sales. 



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You know I am actually kinda hoping that those shipment numbers won't be that far off the VGC numbers(Given reasonable amount on shelves etc). Maybe then all this talk of undertracked, adjustments, wait for shipments will finally be put to rest. Oh well, here is to hoping, chances are they will have a large shipment figure, to an increasing amount of developing countries in SA and Asia, then this crap will carry on into the next year too.



Disconnect and self destruct, one bullet a time.

I don't see the gap closing to be honest, Kinect has raised the base demand of the 360 so therefore it'll respond proportionally higher to the same percentage price cut. The margin will therefore either stay the same or increase in the Xbox 360s favour.



Tease.

I don't see the gap stretching in the range of 6.5 - 7 Million mark by years end. I predict the 360 outselling the PS3 in 2011 by 500,000.



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The pattern we now have will remain until something changes. PS3 will beat 360 in EMEAA and Japan and 360 will beat PS3 in US and UK. In tonights NPD i think we will get a better indicator of the PS3's future there for the year. I think in EMEAA sooner rather then later 360 will get a price cut. It has been what three years now since the last proper one? The PS3 will need a price cut in US or it will just continue to fade away. The question becomes how much and can Sony afford it? Their last financial results were not exactly outstanding. Would they be in a hurry to go back to making a loss on the PS3? I doubt it.

I expect 360 to be up yoy slightly and PS3 down yoy. Meaning the gap will have increased but not by much, 500k max i'd guess.

I think it really all boils down to Kinect and how hard they want to push it. If it looks to be losing steam they will re-bundle it and maybe price cut it. I think 2011 is Microsofts year to lose pretty much.