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Forums - Sales Discussion - *Predict System Sales For 2011!*

DS - 18m

3DS - 18m

PSP - 7m

Wii - 17m

PS4 - 15m

360 - 16m




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Seece said:

[..]


I don't have to make a prediction to justify others as having rubbish ones ... that's not how it works.

I'm not gonna pin myself down to numbers I don't have faith in, basically people should stop using the word prediction and use guessing instead, predicting at this point in time is pointless, we have no idea the scale of price cuts next winter, and whatever else they have in the bag.

If you want me to guess numbers then

360 - 12 - 16 million
PS3 - 12 - 16 million
Wii - 15 - 22 million




Damn it Seece! Those margins are wider than Marcus's, if you don't get all of them spot on you should consider suicide :p.

As far as sales go, Wii will trend low for the year compared to competition but will again demolish during the holidays, I'd put an estimate at around 17, ~19 if there is a price cut.

PS3, about 12.5, ~14 if a price is cut.(We talking the whole 2011, not the fiscal years right?)

360 ~12, ~13.5-14 if price is cut on both HW and Kinect.

As far as my 8 ball tells me, this'll be a peak year for probably a few consoles.



Disconnect and self destruct, one bullet a time.

Nintendogamer said:

What makes you think wii will do 21.8M, I reckon it will do about 14M, hence topping 98M end of year and DS will do about 16M,doing 160M end of year. 3DS will do like 11M.


I sort of agree. 3DS is a hard case. Alot of hype but the first year is usually low for all systems. 



Wii - 18m

360 - 15.5m

PS3 - 14.5m



stopstopp said:
psrock said:

Anyway.

14 million 360

13 Million PS3

19 million Wii


Why would PS3 be down YoY?

ermm...why would it be up?



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

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kopstudent89 said:
Nintendogamer said:

What makes you think wii will do 21.8M, I reckon it will do about 14M, hence topping 98M end of year and DS will do about 16M,doing 160M end of year. 3DS will do like 11M.


I sort of agree. 3DS is a hard case. Alot of hype but the first year is usually low for all systems. 

First year tends to be low due to supply alone for successful systems.  With 4m just for Feb/March, I think Nintendo's likely going to ramp up production faster than usual, they know they have a surefire seller here given the brand, support and features... it's not like DS or Wii where they had to convince everyone and build up slowly.



You want my predictions? Here they are:

 

Wii: 18-19mil 

PS3: 14mil

360: 15mil

3DS: Erm... 9mil-11mil

PSP2- 0mil

PSP-4mil



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

Conegamer said:

You want my predictions? Here they are:

 

Wii: 18-19mil 

PS3: 14mil

360: 15mil

3DS: Erm... 9mil-11mil

PSP2- 0mil

PSP-4mil

Those seem reasonable, it's all a question if PS3 will get a price cut or not, if it doesn't it'll probably do even lower numbers, if it does then it has a chance at overshooting 360. '11 holiday season will be even more fun than '10



Disconnect and self destruct, one bullet a time.

NotStan said:
Seece said:

[..]


I don't have to make a prediction to justify others as having rubbish ones ... that's not how it works.

I'm not gonna pin myself down to numbers I don't have faith in, basically people should stop using the word prediction and use guessing instead, predicting at this point in time is pointless, we have no idea the scale of price cuts next winter, and whatever else they have in the bag.

If you want me to guess numbers then

360 - 12 - 16 million
PS3 - 12 - 16 million
Wii - 15 - 22 million




Damn it Seece! Those margins are wider than Marcus's, if you don't get all of them spot on you should consider suicide :p.

As far as sales go, Wii will trend low for the year compared to competition but will again demolish during the holidays, I'd put an estimate at around 17, ~19 if there is a price cut.

PS3, about 12.5, ~14 if a price is cut.(We talking the whole 2011, not the fiscal years right?)

360 ~12, ~13.5-14 if price is cut on both HW and Kinect.

As far as my 8 ball tells me, this'll be a peak year for probably a few consoles.

What can I say, I like to keep my options open!



 

By company numbers (shipped)...

Wii: 18 million
PS3: 17 million
360: I don't care.