"doubt a 360 price cut will boost it much it had so many deals this year its not even funny and it even has another one of those gift card deals at a big retailer again for this or next week, so those who wanted one with a HDD for $200-250 must of already bought one recently

i believe that most of its sales where for the new features of its HW redesign more than its price and that redesign will have worn off by summer time 2011"

I really wonder why people say you're a great predictor when you come out with stuff like this ...

To your first comment, no, not even close.

The HW design selling power will likely subside in a couple of weeks. But that wasn't what was selling 360's over the holiday, over half the 360's bought were Kinect bundles.

If Kinect does see lacklustre sales in the year, it'll still give the 360 somewhat of a boost. So what boost is PS3 going to get during the year? it's price cut will be very old. The core games arnt going to shift which console is in the lead.

Like I said just now, if Kinect does subside drastically in the year, it's obvious it's akin to the WIi in that it's a holiday seller. So when it gets a price cut along with a HW price cut, is when you'll see its true potential. A Kinect and 360 HW cut will see it do leaps and bounds above this years holiday sales.

PS3 had to get a price cut to get to 1 million units in a week, 360 did it twice in a row and hasn't cut baseline price since 2008.

Kinect is far more powerful than a price cut.

How you go after his prediction being wrong as his PS3 prediction is far worst than his 360 one, but I don't see yours.

I don't have to make a prediction to justify others as having rubbish ones ... that's not how it works.

I'm not gonna pin myself down to numbers I don't have faith in, basically people should stop using the word prediction and use guessing instead, predicting at this point in time is pointless, we have no idea the scale of price cuts next winter, and whatever else they have in the bag.

If you want me to guess numbers then

360 - 12 - 16 million
PS3 - 12 - 16 million
Wii - 15 - 22 million