VS

Essentially, an interesting way of asking if Skyward Sword will sell more then 5.8 Million copies. :P

It's going to be interesting, because Skyward Sword has a larger potential audience, but Twilight Princess had so much hype that SS obviously isn't matching.

And if you don't want to debate sales, which will deserve to outsell the other?

5.8 on the wii but another 1.5 on the GC (for which i'm making the bold assumptions of only a small amount of repeat buyers).  

so i'd wager it SS of being in the 6-8M range.  i haven't seen anything that makes me think this zelda will reach a larger audience then those already excited for another zelda nor anything to alienate fans of the series so i'd expect sales within 15% either way of TP's 7.3M.

I predict that SS will sell 7 million copies in 12 months.

My dead-on estimate is somewhere between Mother 3's USA sales and Wii Sports' WW sales.

Mmmm...that's weird...I always thought Skyward Sword could outsell WiiSports.

I personally think that Skyward Sword will sell less than the Wii version of Twilight Princess.

The Wii's competition gets fiercer and fiercer every year. In 2010, you have to compete with all the new 2010 titles, but you also have to compete with evergreen 2008 and 2009 titles. Essentially, the amount of games that people could potentially buy increases.

And, with the Wii, the amount of software isn't increasing. It's stuck at selling around the same as in 2008 and in 2009, and it's quite clearly going to sell roughly the same in 2011 and 2012.

More titles that buyers could potentially buy, coupled with no increase in software sold, means that the average title will sell less. Essentially, all titles will sell a bit less on Wii now than the earlier released ones.

We see this pattern being true for all installments of Zelda on machines. The second one on the machine always sells less.

So, I'd say somewhere in the 4-5 million range seems likely.

SS won't outsell TP, TP had huge hype.... and SS is targeting the casuals, that will scare the core gamers but casuals still won't buy it because it's too complex

Skyward Sword will sell between 5 and 6 million. I predict Skyward Sword to be the worst console Zelda released since Zelda II.

What is actually wrong with Zelda II? I find it to be far superior to Majora's Mask, Link To The Past, Twilight Princess and so on but it is always hated, the 'black sheep' of the Zelda franchise.

Twilight Princess is almost the most sold Zelda of the serie, right behind Ocarina of Time. The limits of the Zelda licence seems around this bar.

But I  think that Zelda Skyward Sword has a shot at outselling it or at least outselling the Wii version alone.  Twilight Princess was first only for gamecube and then delayed for the launch oif the Wii. It sold well but has not benefited from the huge success of the Wii and did not become the flagship game of the console.

Skyward Sword will be the blockbuster of th Wii next year,  it is not hyped now, because Nintendo is showing nothing, but they have proved that they can release a 20 millions seller with annoucing it only 6 months before its release. I think the hype will pick up when Nintendo will start showing the game.

Someone said that the more the time pass the more difficult it's too sell on Wii because you are competing with the "evergreens" and I am not sure to agree. It's true only for new buyers, not for the one who already have these games and they are a lot.

Zelda will be bought by the core Zelda and Nintendo fans, they will probably be bought by a part of a largest audience having heard of Zelda and because it will be the Nintendo most hyped game of the year. It will beat the Wind Waker, and once he will be above he will be very near the Wii version of TP.  He will surely pass it.