GameSpot

Last month, Microsoft upped its estimates for its Kinect motion-sensing camera peripheral, saying it expected the add-on to build an installed base of 5 million by the end of the year. Analyst firm Screen Digest believes Microsoft will ride that momentum in 2011, naming the Kinect one of a handful of top tech stories it expects to cast a large shadow in 2011.

While Sony's motion-sensing Move controller launched months earlier than Kinect, Screen Digest believes Microsoft's add-on will be able to overtake its counterpart by the end of next year. Through 2011, the firm predicted a worldwide Kinect installed base of 7.6 million, just edging out a 7.3 million Move-enabled PlayStation 3 user base.

Another of Sony's initiatives made the Screen Digest report, though probably not in the way the electronics giant would have wanted. The firm doesn't expect 3D TV sales to catch on next year, even though the sets have been introduced in essentially every major market around the globe.

The firm suggested current 3D broadcasters place too much of an emphasis on live sporting events and non-recurring programming, and that the glasses required of current 3D TVs will serve as a deterrent. As for glasses-free 3D TVs (or "auto-stereoscopic" sets), Screen Digest doesn't expect those to become mass market options for another decade.

Another trend that might not have a near-term impact on the industry is streaming games-on-demand services like OnLive and Gaikai. Such services provide a poor value proposition at the moment, the firm believes, and might not take off until they focus more on the TV and console market than PCs.

http://www.gamespot.com/news/6285819.html

7.6 vs. 7.3 install base? I would actually think that's pretty darn good for Sony :D

I would think it would be higher than 7.6

It could do 7 million this year alone.

Wait so they think through the whole 2011 year that KINECT will only sell 7.6 million?

I guess thats not too bad but I would put it closer to 9-10 million myself.

it will do alot more than that

Wow, what a retarded article. Do they not realize that Kinect is going to reach 6 Million by the end of THIS YEAR and that Kinect is already ahead of Move by a wide margin? I think Screen Digest is taking Sony's shipped numbers as sold to consumers which is completely wrong. Kinect is at least two million ahead of Move when comparing sold through to consumers right now.

That article is full of fail.

We can only hope they will sell so poorly

I think who wrote this article was high or something because kinect has nearly 6 million in sales already and move only has 4 million give or take shipped. So unless kinect completely bombs in 2011 and i mean seriously go on the downside like the united states went into a economic depression then it will do around 15 million by the end of 2011.

except that VGchartz has no move sales, only sports champions sales, which is bundles in USA but not in PAL, and PAL is Sonys strong place, and If I was going to buy move , I would buy Heavy Rain as my move games (haven't played it yet) or get MAG with the move patch or Figh and not Sport Champions