I think a Nintendo DS price drop to 99 dollars would do wonders. I think "under 100 dollars" is a sweet spot for quite a lot of people.

Pokemon Black/White isn't going to move a lot of DSes in itself. But it's going to keep the DS popular, in the sense that there is still plenty of software labeled "Nintendo DS" that sells loads. The DS hasn't really had new games for years, and it still sold like cupcakes. The evergreen titles on the DS are far more evergreen than the Wii titles. The only Wii title near the evergreen-ness of top the DS evergreens is Mario Kart Wii. And that even started dipping below Mario Kart DS before the bundle.

The DS is fine without new software. The Wii isn't. Next year, Nintendo's focus is going to be the 3DS. Neither of the two are going to get much attention. That's a larger loss for the Wii than for the DS. In addition, the DS is more likely to have a pricecut. The only thing speaking in the Wii's advantage is the 3DS launching, and I'm not sure how much that is going to affect it, as they're going to be in completely different priceranges.

I'd personally go for DS 18 million, Wii 16 million. The 3DS is going to end quite a lot lower that. It starts 4 million behind the other two due to its late launch, for instance. I have a feeling the 3DS is going to see the same kind of supply issues the Wii did, too. I'd guess 10-12 million sold.

Hmmmm I think many peope are underestimating 3DS this thing is not only going to appeal to 'the broader audience" but also (MUCH more than the current ds-line) to the hardcore. Nintendo is going to sell every 3DS they ship. I think the anticipation for this product is very high.

Ugh! I made a huge post explaining my argument, but it was all drained away by my click outside of the quote window, ;(!

Anyway, I think I said that $99 will be 2012, Pokemon BW won't offset must-haves (Nintendogs, Brain Age, Mario Kart) being on 3DS, the Wii has a higher quantity of evergreens, 3DS development took away from Wii in 2010 since third parties will support 3DS next year and Nintendo can focus development on Wii since it needs it more and that 3DS will be higher because DS/Wii won't sell 4m in first two/three months of the year and because it is probably better supplied based on its "delay" and Nintendo's expectations.

I probably missed out some important details from my argument, but it's not my fault, ;P!

Just to remind some of you how big DS is in Japan, some of you may have forgotten the truly epic DS numbers from the past.

All media create numbers. DS did 500k a month for long periods non-holiday. (only top 3 shown)

Well, it didn't have a successor out and most of the market saturated at that point, now did it, :P? If you're talking about this leading to 3DS being big as well, I doubt anyone would disagree with you; they probably think that 3DS will be heavily supply constrained at first, which is fairly reasonable, I guess.

And the thing is, DS had to prove itself back in the day. No one was sure if it would take off. 3DS doesn't have that problem, It's more of a step forward I think than the current DS was. People will eat it up, as long as Nintendo keeps making enough of these babies.