360 :
46,646,289
PS3 :
42,628,877
____________

40,174,12

So a difference of roughly 4.2 Million. The gap for this week is 120,000. How much by years end ?

It will probably be at 4.6-4.7 

I actually think it could grow to as much as 5.1 Mil

I'm expecting about 150K gap per week from here on in. So 4 weeks *150K = 650K increase in lead. So 4.2 million lead now, should expand to about 4.9 million.

4,017,412, gap is 4mil (and ~17k) right now, not 4.2mil, and will be a bit less than 4 with Japan's numbers for this week.

Voted 4.6-4.7

Your poll is missing the "4.7 - 4.8 Million" option.

I voted "5.0 - 5.5 Million" because of the way Kinect is selling, which I also believe has put a damper on Nintendo's November 2010 numbers. Nintendo Wii numbers for November 2010 are down 10,000 units from November 2009 even though Nintendo's holiday lineup this year (Donkey Kong Country Returns, Metroid: Other M, Epic Mickey, Kirby's Epic Yarn, Just Dance 2, Wii Party, and on) is much stronger than last year where it was all New Super Mario Bros. Wii.

If the PS3 cannot outsell the 360 the week Gran Turismo 5 is released (PS3 803,000; 360 845,000)*, then you know the gap is going to grow.

*: Weekly Sales Analysis, 27 November 2010 - Gran Turismo 5 Debuts - http://gamrfeed.vgchartz.com/story/82906/weekly-sales-analysis-27-november-2010-gran-turismo-5-debuts/

4.5-4.6 million, I think.

look back at black friday week, PS3 hardware was adjusted up a little, the 360 and PS3 were tied at 840k.

Kinect didn't cut into the Wii at all, in fact it's the opposite, the Wii is still so strong that parents still see the Wii's price and buy the Wii, not Kinect.  Don't forget all the people on this forum just one month ago that said the Wii is dead, the 360 will kill the Wii this holiday season and look what happened.  The Wii just exploded.  Not just in NA but in EMEAA as well.  I thought the PS3 could beat the Wii in EMEAA but not even close.  Also, the Kinect effect is in NA mostly, not so much in EMEAA and Kinect is completely dead in Japan.

Having said that, I think 4.5-4.6 million. 

btw, the holiday boost in Japan goes until two weeks into January, so the PS3 will make up a little of that into January, because of Japan.

The PS3 will close the gap to less than 4 million. 

To clarify does this mean at the end of 2010 or the end of fiscal year? If it's at the end of 2010..

Willing to put your signature where your fingers are? I bet that the gap will be more than 4M by the end of 2010.