Reading your predictions it sounds pretty on par with what sounds reasonable, the only swaying factor is Kinect and how much the advertising in the UK here will affect the sales in EMEAA, because if it's too much it may not be able to match your predictions.

At any rate, al will be revealed in little over a month, so lets see whether or not the Wii-haters will be drowning in their tears of SHAME or whether or not this thread will be remembered as the thread from the Nintendo fan who rode out Black Friday sales just a little too much. I hope it is the former

Sorry but I don't see it happening. Yes the Wii will have great sales but less than last year. Last year's BF sales were lower than this year's because (as far as I remember) there were less good deals available, the good deals came later. Also last holiday season was the first season Wii was available with no shortages. This time it's different, and there's Kinect around as a hot item to get. So WIi will sell great, but no records will be broken this time around (imo). If your prediction comes true, I cetainly won't shed any tears, I AM rooting for the Wii, just being (imo) more realistic.

Aww...but

However, your point is valid, but, like I say, we should wait until January to decide, anything is possible with the Wii!

Haven't you noticed? Despite Kinect, Wii's taken over the weekly lead in the UK, if only barely. Whilst 360 made too large of a yearly gap between the Wii and itself with Reach and the Slim for Wii to catch up for the year, it shows that the Wii is gonna sell amazingly either way.

I know it's unlikely, but I also know that everybody on here loves lowballing the Wii and that my chances of getting this right, whilst extremely low, are still  higher than most here think. Therefore, in the unlikely case that I get it right, I shall be viewed as god, :D.

Anyway, I thought as much regarding the BF deals. That's why I've put Americas sales slightly below what they were last year. However, I've kept the number mostly even because I find it very likely that DKCR and DEM will be able to replicate the effect that NSMB produced, at least for the holidays. Also, with the Red Wii bundle, I believe that its effects will be much larger during the holidays since it makes the Wii an interesting thing to buy again and because the Wii has an established brand name and well known games as compared to Kinect, the hardware sales boosting effect of which I believe people are vastly overestimating, Wii should still do really well.

Besides even in a worst case scenario, I simply can't see Wii not breaking records in EMEAA. And with DKCR and the big ad campaign, Wii should do alright in Japan, too, however down from last year.

I think maybe the more interesting prospect would be whether the Wii could outsell the 360 by years end, but I'm sure Seece is already on top of that

Don't think that's possible,  unfortunately, D:. 360 has a 200k-250k advantage and last week's numbers, I believe, put the Wii at 59k and 360 at 58k, if I'm not wrong. I really don't think Wii can extend its lead to 40-50k weekly over the next five weeks.

Still, if that's the case, let's say the wii ends up 100k behind this year.

This is the year that the Wii has been "doomed" too many times to count, yet is only 100k behind the 360 which had Halo Reach, Slim model, Kinect, lots of advertising and a price cut. The Wii has had nothing but software and bundles. I think Nintendo has far more cards yet to lay on the table than 360, so I don't think anyone is worried!

Yeah, honestly, that's something HD fans seem to forget too many times (though I don't believe 360 had a price cut this year. I thought it had held price since 2008). Just because the Wii has been falling for a while and PS360 have been rising doesn't mean it'll continue. They seem to think that the Wii won't come first next year 'cause it's declining. They don't seem to realize that this is the year when both HD consoles peak and it's downhill for them too. If older market trends mean anything, they're gonna fall much faster. Wouldn't even be shocked to see Wii at 50% market share for 2011 or 2012.

Lol, no. I freely admit that your balls are bigger than mine!