By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - DFC Intelligence, the PlayStation 3 will surpass the Xbox 360 in worldwide

Farfetch?

source

DFC Intelligence: PS3 expected to overtake the Xbox 360 in 2011

November 24, 2010


According to projections from DFC Intelligence, the PlayStation 3 will surpass the Xbox 360 in worldwide units sold by "within the next year." Currently, the Xbox 360 has 45.2 million units sold worldwide to date, with the number rising during the holiday season thanks to the release of Kinect and general holiday 2010 sales. Microsoft is expected to sell 5 million Kinect units in total this holiday season, some of which will be sold as part of a system bundle.

The PlayStation 3 has sold 41.2 million units worldwide to date. DFC Intelligence predicts that the PS3 will surpass the Xbox 360 in consoles sold worldwide sometime in 2011. DFC is basing this on a number of huge exclusive titles in 2011 such as Killzone 3, LittleBigPlanet 2, and SOCOM 4. The release of Gran Turismo 5 may also prove to be a motivator for some gamers to buy new PS3 systems.

Source: DT



Around the Network

Wont happen.



Nope, 360 is a beast and M$ will unleash CHUCK NORRIS!

Chuck Norris once starred in Wheel of Fortune. The last twenty nine minutes were spent in an awkward silence, waiting for the wheel to stop spinning.

And you thought ps3 will outsell xbox 360. hahahahahahahahahahah!



totally agree

 

2.9 is the shipped gap

it will decrease futher or stay around the same after this quarter Oct-DEC

then it will go down again

 

also the big PS3 price cut that will come next year with the REAL PS3 SLIM



Interesting analysis. I like how they pin their analysis on software. The best indicator to look at, as even I have stated a few times, Sony's software lineup for 2011 is beautiful compared to Microsoft's and Nintendo's.

What I do quibble, which may have to do with their data collection, is their emphasis on Japan, Americas, and Europe as if Brazil, the Middle East, Africa, and others do not matter.

Japan in comparison to the Americas or Europe is miniscule in comparison and going forward will have a decreasing amount of influence in video game sales due to the demographics, hand-held dominance, and economy. Any analysis emphasizing who has the most in the Japanese market is immediately suspicious to me because if you look at the weekly hardware numbers here on VGChartz, the total amount of hardware and software sold in Japan is tiny compared to the Americas and EMEAA totals.

Just to prove my point, here are the latest total weekly hardware and software by region via VGChartz (14 Nov 2010):

Japan

Total Software: 819,198

Total Hardware: 134,675

EMEAA

Total Software: 8,768,075

Total Hardware: 1,059,813

Americas

Total Software: 15,194,851

Total Hardware: 737,222

Interesting, but very unlikely to happen if the bulk of your analysis is concerned with who wins in Japan.

Analysts would do better if they focused less on Japan and more on Brazil, India, Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and Canada. The US and Japan are oversaturated markets at this point in the generation.



Around the Network

Is DFC creditable? Like I don't know much about Analysts and for all I know this one could be spurting out shit.

 

Anyway isn't it amazing how a console back in 2006 with an abysmal launch and no games has reduced the gap to 4 Mil?

 

I don't believe the PS3 can take over X360 in 2011 but 2012 would be a much better guess. Regardless of when, it could overtake or it will not but if it was to, 2012 would be about right.



Killiana1a said:

Interesting analysis. I like how they pin their analysis on software. The best indicator to look at, as even I have stated a few times, Sony's software lineup for 2011 is beautiful compared to Microsoft's and Nintendo's.

What I do quibble, which may have to do with their data collection, is their emphasis on Japan, Americas, and Europe as if Brazil, the Middle East, Africa, and others do not matter.

Japan in comparison to the Americas or Europe is miniscule in comparison and going forward will have a decreasing amount of influence in video game sales due to the demographics, hand-held dominance, and economy. Any analysis emphasizing who has the most in the Japanese market is immediately suspicious to me because if you look at the weekly hardware numbers here on VGChartz, the total amount of hardware and software sold in Japan is tiny compared to the Americas and EMEAA totals.

Just to prove my point, here are the latest total weekly hardware and software by region via VGChartz (14 Nov 2010):

Japan

Total Software: 819,198

Total Hardware: 134,675

EMEAA

Total Software: 8,768,075

Total Hardware: 1,059,813

Americas

Total Software: 15,194,851

Total Hardware: 737,222

Interesting, but very unlikely to happen if the bulk of your analysis is concerned with who wins in Japan.

Analysts would do better if they focused less on Japan and more on Brazil, India, Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and Canada. The US and Japan are oversaturated markets at this point in the generation.

When it comes to PS3 vs. 360 Japan is significant, because the gap in weekly sales between these 2 consoles is consistently large, and often times negates (or nearly so) the PS3 vs. 360 gap in the Americas. Thus giving the weekly total to PS3. For the relatively small overall size of the market it delivers a very large sales gap between PS3 and 360.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

It's unlikely not to happen



Cross-X said:

reduced the gap to 4 Mil


Didn't it start out at 5M?



Galaki said:
Cross-X said:

reduced the gap to 4 Mil


Didn't it start out at 5M?

Nope. 6.65m according to VGC.