Considering retailers seem to think that Kinect will be $149 and it seems that Microsoft has told them the price -- afterall he admitted they already know the price AND have gotten good feedback from retailers, i would expect the final price to be around $149 (though its possible M$ will cut it to try and compete with Move). 

Because it's not what he wants to hear.

Would he say "Oh man, you guys are not gonna like the price"? He wouldn't...

EDIT: Not saying that he is lying, I just think it should be taken with a grain of salt.

Wii Fit Plus with the balance board goes for over $100, with tax:

http://www.ebgames.com/Catalog/ProductDetails.aspx?product_id=75108

One can see Microsoft target the same thing with two games bundled with it.  You may end up getting both Sports and Adventures and maybe the fitness program to, all for $100.

i think it'll come out to $120, which i think is a pretty good deal.  they'll probably try to make the bundles more competitive:

Arcade Slim (w/out hard drive or WiFi) for $150

Arcade Slim Natal/Kinect Sports for $250

Elite Slim Natal/Bundled games for $350

This would be a good way to undercut Sony for the holiday, and at the same time have the lowest cost of entry.

Microsoft is phasing out the older model, and looks like they are going with one base model.  In the arcade units they have had, they had to put internal flash memory to be able to account for OS updates.   So, the question I will have is, if they are likely to have one model, how will they release an arcade system without any form of storage for O/S updates?  I would say that it is likely all 360s will have some form of harddrive for them at this point on, and still keep the Wifi with it.  It is possible you get a 360 low end unit with a 60 GB HD at $200.  Kinects sells in the $100-$120 range with a game or two bundled.  There will also be a 250 GB $300-$350 model.

Or Microsoft then sells Kinects for $100, the current model with Kinect for $300, or without at $200.

I can easily see a 10GB wifi less arcade.

So Microsoft will still sell Wifi units for $100 a pop through retailers?  Also, how much less money is a 10GB HD than a larger one?  I am not even sure they make those.

I don't think they gonna sell kinect for less than 100$

So £90-ish for two controllers and a camera, if you settle for DS3s instead of Nav controllers.