HD console = PS3
HD format = PS3
Good online service = PS3
Motion controls = PS3
The PS3 MOVE user base may start from Zero but remember, its gonna have a 2-3 year head start, and in 2-3 years the PS3 may be at 50 million plus, so Move will be accessable to those 50 million current PS3 owners, and all for $100 or less. Compared to the Wii HD which will probably launch at $200-300 and without a decent online service and Blue Ray.
Nintendo is gonna have a problem if Sony decides to Bundle it with EVERY ps3, for one price.
sony will probably be gearing a ps upgrade on the market too, but when depends how fast the market reacts.
sony choice of overengineering the ps3 may pay off after all. ps3 it's getting motion control 1-1 and 3d and it got the storage to support great games. 4 dual layer DVD are 200gb.
nintendo will have to find something to capture the market again next gen, nintendo will probably try to milk the wii as much they can, releasing new colors (already starting) and maybe a revision (like they do for the DS )
nintendo was able to get where it's because it was cheap, games didn't look bad considering the specs on the machine at least nintendo crafted games.
ps3 it's more expensive even today ,casuals of course know about graphics, but then when u have tons of family on SD and the console does the job of keeping the kids busy, wii was obvious choice. but then next gen what will happen? 3d will take off?